Match Info

EuroBasket - Round 5

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Nokia Arena (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Finland	Nelonen, Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports 2
Germany	Magenta Sport, RTL
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Italy	DAZN Italia
Spain	DAZN Espana
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Court Side 1891


	Finland		Germany

	1	2
	5.5	1.17	Watch
	5.5	1.15
	5.25	1.18	Watch
	4.7	1.22
	6.81	1.07	Watch
	9	1.05
	5.79	1.17
	5.81	1.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.05 ↓ (6.5)	1.14 ↑ (1.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finland
15.8%

Germany
84.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

85.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Germany has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	0%	35.3%

Finland - Germany Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Finland will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Germany will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Finland: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Finland (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Germany (votes: 5 - 41.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 180.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +12.5, OT - Finland (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 184, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +13.5 - Finland (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Finland (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Germany (votes: 5 - 35.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:98

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Jantunen M. Fenerbahce	0. Bonga I. Partizan
23. Markkanen L. Utah Jazz	42. Obst A. Bayern
21. Maxhuni E. Gravelines-Dunkerque	17. Schroder D. Detroit Pistons
9. Salin S. Estudiantes	10. Theis D. AS Monaco
19. Valtonen E. Fundacion Granada	9. Wagner F. Orlando Magic
Substitutes
34. Grandison J. PAOK	1. Da Silva O. Bayern
30. Gustavson A. Karhu Basket	5. da Silva T. Orlando Magic
1. Little M. UC Santa Barbara	21. Hollatz J. Bayern
20. Madsen A. Forca Lleida	34. Kratzer L. Paris
13. Nkamhoua O. Varese	4. Lo M. Paris
35. Seppala I. KTE-Duna	32. Thiemann J. Gunma
Coaches
. Tuovi L.	. Mumbru A.

Preview

Finland is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Germany is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Finland is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Germany is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Germany is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 388:436. (average 77.6:87.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finland basketball
EuroBasket
01.09.25	Finland - Lithuania	78:81 ✺
30.08.25	Montenegro - Finland	65:85 ✺
29.08.25	Finland - Great Britain	109:79 ✺
27.08.25	Sweden - Finland	90:93 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
21.08.25	Finland - Poland	106:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW
- Germany basketball
EuroBasket
01.09.25	Germany - Great Britain	120:57 ✺
30.08.25	Lithuania - Germany	88:107 ✺
29.08.25	Germany - Sweden	105:83 ✺
27.08.25	Montenegro - Germany	76:106 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
23.08.25	Germany - Spain	95:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
29.08.23	Germany - Finland	101:75
27.02.23	Finland - Germany	81:87
11.11.22	Germany - Finland	94:80
Friendly International Basketball
19.08.16	Germany - Finland	75:66
06.08.16	Finland - Germany	86:79

Finland - Germany: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide