Match Info

EuroBasket - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Finland	Ruutu+
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Italy	DAZN Italia
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
World	Court Side 1891


	Serbia		Finland

	1	2
	1.05	11	Watch
	1.07	8.75
	1.06	10	Watch
	1.08	8.69
	1.08	6.90	Watch
	1.09	9.15
	1.1	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.1)	8.86 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serbia
89.2%

Finland
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.2%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Finland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Serbia - Finland Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Serbia will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Finland will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Serbia: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 166.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +17.5, OT - Finland (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Serbia will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Serbia (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Finland (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Avramovic A. Dubai	34. Grandison J. PAOK
23. Guduric M. Fenerbahce	18. Jantunen M. Fenerbahce
15. Jokic N. Denver Nuggets	1. Little M. UC Santa Barbara
5. Jovic N. Miami Heat	23. Markkanen L. Utah Jazz
3. Petrusev F. Dubai	19. Valtonen E. Fundacion Granada
Substitutes
13. Dobric O. Crvena zvezda	30. Gustavson A. Karhu Basket
24. Jovic S. Valencia	20. Madsen A. Forca Lleida
9. Marinkovic V. Partizan	21. Maxhuni E. Gravelines-Dunkerque
22. Micic V. Phoenix Suns	24. Muurinen M.
33. Milutinov N. Olympiacos Piraeus	13. Nkamhoua O. Varese
11. Vukcevic T. Washington Wizards	9. Salin S. (C) Estudiantes
	35. Seppala I. KTE-Duna
Coaches
. Pesic S.	. Tuovi L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serbia won 5.

Serbia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Finland has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Serbia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Serbia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 626:506. (average 89.4:72.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serbia basketball
EuroBasket
03.09.25	Turkey - Serbia	95:90 ✺
01.09.25	Serbia - Czech Republic	82:60 ✺
30.08.25	Latvia - Serbia	80:84 ✺
29.08.25	Portugal - Serbia	69:80 ✺
27.08.25	Serbia - Estonia	98:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWWW
- Finland basketball
EuroBasket
03.09.25	Finland - Germany	61:91 ✺
01.09.25	Finland - Lithuania	78:81 ✺
30.08.25	Montenegro - Finland	65:85 ✺
29.08.25	Finland - Great Britain	109:79 ✺
27.08.25	Sweden - Finland	90:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

EuroBasket
21.02.25	Finland - Serbia	95:105
23.02.24	Serbia - Finland	77:61
05.09.22	Serbia - Finland	100:70
30.11.20	Serbia - Finland	75:66
20.02.20	Finland - Serbia	58:80
Friendly International Basketball
07.08.19	Serbia - Finland	95:75
EuroBasket
13.09.15	Serbia - Finland	94:81

Serbia - Finland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide