Match Info

EuroBasket - Round 4

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Spodek (Katowice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hungary	M4 Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Poland	TVP Sport
Serbia	SportKlub 2
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Spain	DAZN Espana
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Court Side 1891


	France		Poland

	1	2
	1.2	4.75	Watch
	1.21	4.4	Watch
	1.19	4.95	Watch
	1.22	4.47
	1.26	3.66	Watch
	1.17	4.5
	1.24	4.43	Watch
	1.1	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.1)	4.77 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

France
79.9%

Poland
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.4%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that France's form might have worsened.

Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Poland's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.8%	0%	65.2%

France - Poland Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. France will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Poland will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Poland: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. France (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Poland (votes: 9 - 64.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +8.5, OT - Poland (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 159.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -9, OT - France (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Poland (4.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. France (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Poland (votes: 11 - 61.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Cordinier I. Virtus Bologna	2. Balcerowski A. Unicaja
99. Coulibaly B. Washington Wizards	11. Dziewa A. King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
14. Jaiteh M. AS Monaco	8. Loyd J. AS Monaco
11. Maledon T. Lyon-Villeurbanne	0. Pluta A. SK Legia Warszawa
7. Yabusele G. (C) Philadelphia 76ers	9. Ponitka M. (C) Bahcesehir Koleji
Substitutes
00. Francisco S. Zalgiris Kaunas	12. Gielo T. Bilbao
2. Hifi N. Paris	15. Laczynski K. Anwil Wloclawek
34. Hoard J. Maccabi Tel Aviv	23. Michalak M. Anwil Wloclawek
3. Luwawu-Cabarrot T. Saski Baskonia	17. Olejniczak D. Saint Quentin
0. Okobo E. AS Monaco	3. Sokolowski M. Sassari
21. Risacher Z. Atlanta Hawks	10. Zapala S.
	28. Zolnierewicz P. King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
Coaches
. Fauthoux F.	. Milicic I.

Preview

France is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Poland has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, France is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, France won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 242:195. (average 80.7:65).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France basketball
EuroBasket
31.08.25	Israel - France	82:69 ✺
30.08.25	France - Slovenia	103:95 ✺
28.08.25	Belgium - France	64:92 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
24.08.25	Greece - France	77:92 ✺
16.08.25	France - Spain	78:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW
- Poland basketball
EuroBasket
31.08.25	Poland - Iceland	84:75 ✺
30.08.25	Poland - Israel	66:64 ✺
28.08.25	Slovenia - Poland	95:105 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
21.08.25	Finland - Poland	106:87 ✺
17.08.25	Poland - Finland	88:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

EuroBasket
16.09.22	Poland - France	54:95
05.09.17	Poland - France	75:78
07.09.15	France - Poland	69:66

France - Poland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide