Match Info

EuroBasket - Round 3

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Spodek (Katowice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	Ruutu+
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Iceland	RUV
Italy	DAZN Italia
Norway	DAZN
Poland	TVP Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4, SportKlub 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
World	Court Side 1891


	Poland		Iceland

	1	2
	1.13	6.25	Watch
	1.16	5.75	Watch
	1.15	5.92
	1.06	7.76	Watch
	1.22	4.5
	1.17	5.61
	1.31	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.31)	5.63 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland
82.8%

Iceland
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.3%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poland's performance.

Iceland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iceland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poland than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iceland than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iceland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Poland - Iceland Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Iceland will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Iceland (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 147.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +12.5, OT - Iceland (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Iceland (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Balcerowski A. Unicaja	10. Fridriksson E. Maroussi
15. Laczynski K. Anwil Wloclawek	6. Gudmundsson J. San Pablo Burgos
8. Loyd J. AS Monaco	15. Hermannsson M. Alba Berlin
9. Ponitka M. Bahcesehir Koleji	32. Hlinason T. Bilbao
3. Sokolowski M. Sassari	3. Steinarsson A. Stjarnan
Substitutes
11. Dziewa A. King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	11. Atlason A.
12. Gielo T. Bilbao	66. Bjornsson S. Tindastoll
23. Michalak M. Anwil Wloclawek	29. Gunnarsson O. Stjarnan
17. Olejniczak D. Saint Quentin	5. Henningsson H. Stjarnan
0. Pluta A. SK Legia Warszawa	12. Jonsson K. Valur
10. Zapala S.	14. Palsson K. Valur
28. Zolnierewicz P. King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	34. Thrastarson S. Belfius Mons
Coaches
. Milicic I.	. Pedersen C.

Preview

Recent performances by Poland have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Iceland is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Iceland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Poland is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Poland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 345:287. (average 86.3:71.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland basketball
EuroBasket
30.08.25	Poland - Israel	66:64 ✺
28.08.25	Slovenia - Poland	95:105 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
21.08.25	Finland - Poland	106:87 ✺
17.08.25	Poland - Finland	88:97 ✺
14.08.25	Poland - Georgia	94:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLW
- Iceland basketball
EuroBasket
30.08.25	Iceland - Belgium	64:71 ✺
28.08.25	Israel - Iceland	83:71 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
22.08.25	Lithuania - Iceland	96:83 ✺
15.08.25	Portugal - Iceland	83:79 ✺
14.08.25	Sweden - Iceland	70:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Basketball
03.08.25	Poland - Iceland	92:90
EuroBasket
02.09.17	Poland - Iceland	91:61
Friendly International Basketball
12.08.16	Poland - Iceland	82:71
28.08.15	Poland - Iceland	80:65

Poland - Iceland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide