Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 13

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: PreZero Arena Gliwice (Gliwice)

Referee: Wawrzynski M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4


	GTK Gliwice		Start Lublin

	1	2
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.05	1.63	Watch
	2.23	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.29	1.59
	2.05	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.04)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GTK Gliwice
43%

Start Lublin
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GTK Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Start Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GTK Gliwice than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Start Lublin than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

GTK Gliwice - Start Lublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gliwice will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Lublin will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gliwice: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gliwice (votes: 3 - 50%). Lublin (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5, OT - Lublin (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Gliwice (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Lublin (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Godfrey J.	12. Ford Q.
24. Gordon W.	33. Frankamp C.
25. Grudzinski D.	25. Griffin B.
0. Jackson K.	2. O'Reilly L.
30. Pisla K.	1. Tokoto J.P.
Substitutes
8. Bender M. (C)	0. Krasuski M.
1. Busz A.	7. Pelczar B.
3. Davis R.	21. Put F. (C)
77. Losiak P.	19. Szymanski R.
66. Misztal K.	5. Turewicz M.
10. Oguine M.	6. Wright J.
Coaches
. Balibrea B.	. Kaminski W.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gliwice won 1.

Gliwice has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lublin's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lublin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lublin has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gliwice won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1347:1384. (average 79.2:81.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gliwice won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 595:571. (average 85:81.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Start Lublin - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.28%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GTK Gliwice
Polish Basket Liga
23.12.25	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - GTK Gliwice	96:93 OT ✺
20.12.25	GTK Gliwice - Legia Warsaw	81:89 ✺
13.12.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - GTK Gliwice	85:78 ✺
05.12.25	Dąbrowa Górnicza - GTK Gliwice	88:72 ✺
21.11.25	GTK Gliwice - Asseco Prokom Gdynia	66:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Start Lublin
Polish Basket Liga
20.12.25	Start Lublin - Górnik Wałbrzych	85:79 ✺
13.12.25	Start Lublin - Trefl Sopot	84:105 ✺
07.12.25	Start Lublin - Dziki Warszawa	76:101 ✺
23.11.25	Start Lublin - Śląsk Wrocław	91:98 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
19.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Start Lublin	80:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
01.03.25	Start Lublin - GTK Gliwice	91:74
24.10.24	GTK Gliwice - Start Lublin	110:105 OT
Club Friendly Basketball
20.09.24	Start Lublin - GTK Gliwice	78:73
Polish Basket Liga
02.02.24	GTK Gliwice - Start Lublin	83:86
21.10.23	Start Lublin - GTK Gliwice	100:93
20.01.23	Start Lublin - GTK Gliwice	79:68
01.10.22	GTK Gliwice - Start Lublin	63:49

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