Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 11

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Globus (Lublin)

Referee: Kucharski B. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Start Lublin		Trefl Sopot

	1	2
	3.4	1.29
	3.4	1.24	Watch
	3.64	1.27
	3.38	1.28	Watch
	3.5	1.25
	3.43	1.29
	3.4	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.88)	1.27 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Start Lublin
26.9%

Trefl Sopot
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Start Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Trefl Sopot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start Lublin than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefl Sopot than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Start Lublin - Trefl Sopot Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lublin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -7.5, OT - Trefl Sopot (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lublin (votes: 1 - 50%). Trefl Sopot (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:90

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ford Q.	18. Cowels R.
25. Griffin B.	33. Goins K.
3. Hawkins E.	55. Schenk J.
2. O'Reilly L.	0. Scruggs P.
6. Wright J.	12. Witlinski M.
Substitutes
8. Kepka W.	37. Addae Wusu D.
0. Krasuski M.	3. Kiejzik S.
7. Pelczar B.	7. Nowicki S.
21. Put F. (C)	11. Suurorg K.
19. Szymanski R.	21. Zapala S.
Coaches
. Kaminski W.	. Larkas M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 3.

Lublin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Trefl Sopot has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lublin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lublin has had a series of home games.

Recently, Trefl Sopot has had a series of away games.

In this match, Trefl Sopot is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1653:1585. (average 82.7:79.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lublin won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 817:790. (average 81.7:79).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Start Lublin
Polish Basket Liga
07.12.25	Start Lublin - Dziki Warszawa	76:101 ✺
23.11.25	Start Lublin - Śląsk Wrocław	91:98 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
19.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Start Lublin	80:75 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
15.11.25	Start Lublin - Zielona Góra	77:91 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
12.11.25	Start Lublin - Rilski Sportist	76:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Trefl Sopot
FIBA Europe Cup
10.12.25	Rostock Seawolves - Trefl Sopot	97:72 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
06.12.25	Legia Warsaw - Trefl Sopot	78:88 ✺
23.11.25	Trefl Sopot - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	84:74 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
19.11.25	Tallinna Kalev - Trefl Sopot	101:83 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
15.11.25	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Trefl Sopot	93:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Super Cup Basketball
28.09.25	Trefl Sopot - Start Lublin	77:82
Polish Basket Liga
07.06.25	Trefl Sopot - Start Lublin	72:79
04.06.25	Start Lublin - Trefl Sopot	93:95 OT
02.06.25	Start Lublin - Trefl Sopot	92:84
30.05.25	Trefl Sopot - Start Lublin	95:79
28.05.25	Trefl Sopot - Start Lublin	81:100
04.04.25	Trefl Sopot - Start Lublin	87:88

Upcoming Matches