Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 12

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Globus (Lublin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Start Lublin		Górnik Wałbrzych

	1	2
	2.3	1.56
	2.2	1.55	Watch
	2.17	1.66
	2.08	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.18	1.65
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Start Lublin
42.5%

Górnik Wałbrzych
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Start Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Górnik Wałbrzych has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Start Lublin than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Wałbrzych than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Start Lublin - Górnik Wałbrzych Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Lublin will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Górnik Wałbrzych will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lublin: 57.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - Lublin (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Start Lublin will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lublin (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Górnik Wałbrzych (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ford Q.	0. Cabbil Jr L.
33. Frankamp C.	7. Garcia M.
25. Griffin B.	22. Jogela T.
2. O'Reilly L.	24. Marchewka K.
1. Tokoto J.P.	91. Wyka D. (C)
Substitutes
0. Krasuski M.	15. Anderson A.
7. Pelczar B.	40. Benson B.
21. Put F. (C)	21. Bojanowski M.
19. Szymanski R.	16. Lapeta A.
5. Turewicz M.	25. Puchalski M.
6. Wright J.	3. Smith I.
Coaches
. Kaminski W.	. Adamek A.

Preview

Lublin has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Górnik Wałbrzych is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lublin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lublin has had a series of home games.

Górnik Wałbrzych could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 296:334. (average 74:83.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lublin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 224:247. (average 74.7:82.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Start Lublin
Polish Basket Liga
13.12.25	Start Lublin - Trefl Sopot	84:105 ✺
07.12.25	Start Lublin - Dziki Warszawa	76:101 ✺
23.11.25	Start Lublin - Śląsk Wrocław	91:98 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
19.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Start Lublin	80:75 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
15.11.25	Start Lublin - Zielona Góra	77:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Górnik Wałbrzych Basketball
Polish Basket Liga
12.12.25	Górnik Wałbrzych - Legia Warsaw	81:79 ✺
07.12.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Górnik Wałbrzych	64:77 ✺
22.11.25	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Górnik Wałbrzych	79:96 ✺
16.11.25	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - Górnik Wałbrzych	85:69 ✺
08.11.25	Górnik Wałbrzych - GTK Gliwice	90:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Super Cup Basketball
27.09.25	Start Lublin - Górnik Wałbrzych	80:66
Polish Cup Basketball
15.02.25	Start Lublin - Górnik Wałbrzych	60:88
Polish Basket Liga
06.02.25	Górnik Wałbrzych - Start Lublin	87:72
18.10.24	Start Lublin - Górnik Wałbrzych	84:93

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