Match Info

NBL1 South Women

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Geelong United		Northern Tasmania

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.15
	1.71	1.98
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.62	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)	2.02 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Geelong United
54.6%

Northern Tasmania
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Geelong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Northern Tasmania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northern Tasmania than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Geelong United - Northern Tasmania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:77

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Preview

In recent matches, Geelong has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Northern Tasmania is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Northern Tasmania may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Geelong United NBL1 Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
16.05.26	Geelong United - Knox Raiders	64:82 ✺
09.05.26	Ringwood Hawks - Geelong United	84:100 ✺
09.05.26	Geelong United - Melbourne Tigers	71:68 ✺
02.05.26	Keilor Thunder - Geelong United	74:70 ✺
02.05.26	Geelong United - Sandringham Sabres	62:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LWWLL
- Northern Tasmania Basketball Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
16.05.26	Northern Tasmania - Dandenong Rangers	98:83 ✺
15.05.26	Northern Tasmania - Diamond Valley Eagles	92:91 ✺
09.05.26	Kilsyth Cobras - Northern Tasmania	80:98 ✺
09.05.26	Knox Raiders - Northern Tasmania	82:51 ✺
01.05.26	Northern Tasmania - Bendigo Braves	78:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.6 WWWLW

Geelong United - Northern Tasmania: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide