Match Info

NCAA

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	George Mason Patriots		Dayton Flyers

	1	2
	1.62	2.2
	1.65	2.12
	1.7	2.21
	1.68	2.09	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.69	2.09
	1.66	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)	2.17 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 136.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

George Mason Patriots
56.5%

Dayton Flyers
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

George Mason Patriots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Dayton Flyers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for George Mason Patriots than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dayton Flyers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

George Mason Patriots - Dayton Flyers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:67

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, George Mason won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

George Mason may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, George Mason won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 863:925. (average 66.4:71.2).

Including home matches between the teams, George Mason won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 392:427. (average 65.3:71.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- George Mason Patriots basketball
NCAA College Basketball
13.02.26	George Washington Colonials - George Mason Patriots	72:53 ✺
10.02.26	Richmond Spiders - George Mason Patriots	82:70 ✺
07.02.26	George Mason Patriots - Saint Josephs Hawks	60:52 ✺
04.02.26	George Mason Patriots - Duquesne Dukes	65:71 ✺
31.01.26	St. Bonaventure Bonnies - George Mason Patriots	73:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLW
- Dayton Flyers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
15.02.26	Dayton Flyers - Davidson Wildcats	70:59 ✺
06.02.26	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - Dayton Flyers	99:73 ✺
03.02.26	Dayton Flyers - St. Bonaventure Bonnies	72:70 ✺
30.01.26	St. Louis Billikens - Dayton Flyers	102:71 ✺
27.01.26	Dayton Flyers - Rhode Island Rams	76:81 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
15.01.25	Dayton Flyers - George Mason Patriots	59:67
21.02.24	George Mason Patriots - Dayton Flyers	71:67
25.02.23	Dayton Flyers - George Mason Patriots	69:74
22.01.22	George Mason Patriots - Dayton Flyers	50:49
05.02.21	Dayton Flyers - George Mason Patriots	74:65
02.01.21	Dayton Flyers - George Mason Patriots	74:65
25.02.20	George Mason Patriots - Dayton Flyers	55:62

George Mason Patriots - Dayton Flyers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide