Match Info

NCAA

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Georgia State Panthers		Arkansas State Red Wolves

	1	2
	2.8	1.45
	2.75	1.42
	2.9	1.44
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.45
	2.61	1.51
	2.95	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.61)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Georgia State Panthers
34.4%

Arkansas State Red Wolves
65.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Georgia State Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Arkansas State Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Georgia State Panthers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arkansas State Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Georgia State Panthers - Arkansas State Red Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:81

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Georgia State won 2.

Georgia State is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arkansas State's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Georgia State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arkansas State will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Georgia State won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1173:1111. (average 73.3:69.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Georgia State won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 605:514. (average 75.6:64.3).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Arkansas State: 0.22% Georgia State: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Georgia State Panthers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
22.01.26	Georgia State Panthers - Southern Miss Golden Eagles	69:62 ✺
17.01.26	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks - Georgia State Panthers	57:77 ✺
10.01.26	Georgia State Panthers - Marshall Thundering Herd	81:73 ✺
08.01.26	Georgia State Panthers - Appalachian State Mountaineers	50:52 ✺
03.01.26	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers - Georgia State Panthers	71:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWLW
- Arkansas State Red Wolves basketball
NCAA College Basketball
22.01.26	Georgia Southern Eagles - Arkansas State Red Wolves	68:85 ✺
17.01.26	Troy Trojans - Arkansas State Red Wolves	99:74 ✺
15.01.26	South Alabama Jaguars - Arkansas State Red Wolves	91:87 OT ✺
10.01.26	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas State Bobcats	83:82 ✺
07.01.26	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Troy Trojans	86:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
18.01.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Georgia State Panthers	85:59
30.12.23	Georgia State Panthers - Arkansas State Red Wolves	91:90
18.02.23	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Georgia State Panthers	75:70
06.03.21	Georgia State Panthers - Arkansas State Red Wolves	71:68
06.01.20	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Georgia State Panthers	90:87
28.02.19	Georgia State Panthers - Arkansas State Red Wolves	76:60
01.02.18	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Georgia State Panthers	66:77

Georgia State Panthers - Arkansas State Red Wolves