Match Info

NCAA

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Arkansas State Red Wolves		Texas State Bobcats

	1	2
	1.12	6.75
	1.1	6
	1.12	5.41	Watch
	1.1	6.7
	1.11	6.5
	1.11	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.14)	6.39 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arkansas State Red Wolves
85.2%

Texas State Bobcats
14.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

80.1%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arkansas State Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arkansas State Red Wolves's performance.

Texas State Bobcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Texas State Bobcats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas State Bobcats Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:73

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arkansas State won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Texas State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arkansas State is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arkansas State won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1384:1418. (average 69.2:70.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Arkansas State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 688:696. (average 68.8:69.6).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Arkansas State: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arkansas State Red Wolves basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.01.26	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Troy Trojans	86:74 ✺
03.01.26	Arkansas State Red Wolves - James Madison Dukes	74:78 ✺
20.12.25	Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Arkansas State Red Wolves	86:93 ✺
17.12.25	Texas State Bobcats - Arkansas State Red Wolves	70:89 ✺
13.12.25	Rice Owls - Arkansas State Red Wolves	77:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL
- Texas State Bobcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
08.01.26	Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Texas State Bobcats	80:70 OT ✺
03.01.26	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks - Texas State Bobcats	79:84 ✺
31.12.25	Troy Trojans - Texas State Bobcats	100:80 ✺
20.12.25	Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars	67:65 ✺
17.12.25	Texas State Bobcats - Arkansas State Red Wolves	70:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
17.12.25	Texas State Bobcats - Arkansas State Red Wolves	70:89
01.02.25	Texas State Bobcats - Arkansas State Red Wolves	74:85
25.01.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas State Bobcats	80:65
20.01.24	Texas State Bobcats - Arkansas State Red Wolves	72:79
11.01.24	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas State Bobcats	85:82
09.02.23	Texas State Bobcats - Arkansas State Red Wolves	66:62
12.01.23	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas State Bobcats	58:61

Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas State Bobcats