Match Info

WNBA - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Chase Center (San Francisco, CA)


	Golden State Valkyries		Dallas Wings

	1	2
	1.26	3.70	Watch
	1.25	4.10
	1.27	3.80
	1.26	4.20
	1.3	3.3	Watch
	1.24	4.05
	1.30	3.65
	1.25	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)	3.85 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Golden State Valkyries
75.3%

Dallas Wings
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Golden State Valkyries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Dallas Wings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Golden State Valkyries than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Golden State Valkyries that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Wings than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dallas Wings could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Golden State Valkyries - Dallas Wings Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Williams G.	20. Siegrist M.
5. Thornton K.	32. Shepard J.
41. Stokes K.	34. Kuier A.
24. Zandalasini C.	5. Bueckers P.
22. Burton V.	24. Ogunbowale A.
Coaches
. Nakase N.	. Fernandez J.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Golden State won 4.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this matchup, Golden State is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Golden State has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 798:731 (averaging 88.7:81.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Golden State against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 443:386 goals (averaging 88.6:77.2 per game).

Outrights of WNBA for now

Golden State Valkyries W: 41.72%

Last Results with these Odds

Dallas Wings - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.76%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Golden State Valkyries
WNBA
30.09.26	Dallas Wings - Golden State Valkyries	108:100 OT ✺
27.09.26	Golden State Valkyries - Dallas Wings	104:80 ✺
24.09.26	Los Angeles Sparks - Golden State Valkyries	75:76 ✺
22.09.26	Portland Fire - Golden State Valkyries	90:82 OT ✺
19.09.26	Golden State Valkyries - Seattle Storm	70:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLW
- Dallas Wings
WNBA
30.09.26	Dallas Wings - Golden State Valkyries	108:100 OT ✺
27.09.26	Golden State Valkyries - Dallas Wings	104:80 ✺
23.09.26	Seattle Storm - Dallas Wings	91:103 ✺
21.09.26	Phoenix Mercury - Dallas Wings	87:86 ✺
19.09.26	Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury	87:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
30.09.26	Dallas Wings - Golden State Valkyries	108:100 OT
27.09.26	Golden State Valkyries - Dallas Wings	104:80
17.08.26	Golden State Valkyries - Dallas Wings	78:70
07.08.26	Dallas Wings - Golden State Valkyries	76:94
17.06.26	Golden State Valkyries - Dallas Wings	91:80
04.09.25	Golden State Valkyries - Dallas Wings	84:80
24.08.25	Dallas Wings - Golden State Valkyries	81:90

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