Match Info

WNBA

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday

Location: Chase Center (San Francisco, CA)

Referee: Johnson R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports Main Event
Usa	ABC, ESPN USA
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Golden State Valkyries		Los Angeles Sparks

	1	2
	1.42	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.85
	1.49	2.65
	1.48	2.76
	1.46	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.41)	2.74 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Golden State Valkyries
65.3%

Los Angeles Sparks
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Golden State Valkyries has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Los Angeles Sparks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Golden State Valkyries than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Sparks than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Golden State Valkyries - Los Angeles Sparks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Thornton K.	30. Ogwumike N.
1. Williams G.	7. Atkins A.
41. Stokes K.	5. Hamby D.
24. Zandalasini C.	10. Plum K.
22. Burton V.	17. Wheeler E.
Substitutes
3. Amihere L.	22. Brink C.
6. Charles K.	12. Burrell R.
2. Chen K.	32. Cannon E.
45. Fingall N.	20. Feagin S.
15. Hayes T.	2. Gray C.
4. Jocyte J.	0. Latson T.
13. Salaun J.	21. Martin K.
	6. Park Ji-Hyun
Coaches
. Nakase N.	. Roberts L.

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Golden State will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Golden State won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 392:380. (average 78.4:76).

Including home matches between the teams, Golden State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 221:226. (average 73.7:75.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Golden State Valkyries
WNBA
12.06.26	Seattle Storm - Golden State Valkyries	72:76 ✺
09.06.26	Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury	87:81 ✺
06.06.26	Las Vegas Aces - Golden State Valkyries	84:79 ✺
04.06.26	Minnesota Lynx - Golden State Valkyries	87:84 ✺
02.06.26	Golden State Valkyries - Portland Fire	95:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLW
- Los Angeles Sparks
WNBA
13.06.26	Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks	102:111 OT ✺
10.06.26	Seattle Storm - Los Angeles Sparks	83:88 ✺
07.06.26	Los Angeles Sparks - Portland Fire	89:72 ✺
05.06.26	Los Angeles Sparks - Dallas Wings	96:104 ✺
02.06.26	Los Angeles Sparks - Las Vegas Aces	69:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
09.08.25	Golden State Valkyries - Los Angeles Sparks	72:59
09.06.25	Los Angeles Sparks - Golden State Valkyries	81:89 OT
23.05.25	Los Angeles Sparks - Golden State Valkyries	73:82
16.05.25	Golden State Valkyries - Los Angeles Sparks	67:84
06.05.25	Golden State Valkyries - Los Angeles Sparks	82:83

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