Match Info

WNBA

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix, AZ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ABC, ESPN USA
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Phoenix Mercury		Los Angeles Sparks

	1	2
	1.96	1.79	Watch
	2.05	1.80
	1.95	1.8
	2.06	1.86
	1.93	1.83	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.01	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.8)	1.82 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phoenix Mercury
47.7%

Los Angeles Sparks
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Los Angeles Sparks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Sparks than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Phoenix will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Los Angeles will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brochant N.	7. Atkins A.
25. Thomas A.	30. Ogwumike N.
4. Mack N.	5. Hamby D.
2. Copper K.	10. Plum K.
8. Makani M.	17. Wheeler E.
Substitutes
11. Ayayi V.	22. Brink C.
24. Bonner D.	12. Burrell R.
20. Carter Q.	32. Cannon E.
10. Held A.	20. Feagin S.
31. Linskens K.	2. Gray C.
29. Nogic J.	0. Latson T.
77. Suarez M.	21. Martin K.
32. Whitcomb S.	6. Park Ji-Hyun
23. Williams K.	4. Ziegler L.
Coaches
. Tibbetts N.	. Roberts L.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Phoenix has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1668:1661. (average 83.4:83.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 940:910. (average 85.5:82.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Mercury
WNBA
11.06.26	Dallas Wings - Phoenix Mercury	85:70 ✺
09.06.26	Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury	87:81 ✺
05.06.26	Portland Fire - Phoenix Mercury	72:78 ✺
03.06.26	Seattle Storm - Phoenix Mercury	68:72 ✺
01.06.26	Phoenix Mercury - Minnesota Lynx	77:111 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWL
- Los Angeles Sparks
WNBA
10.06.26	Seattle Storm - Los Angeles Sparks	83:88 ✺
07.06.26	Los Angeles Sparks - Portland Fire	89:72 ✺
05.06.26	Los Angeles Sparks - Dallas Wings	96:104 ✺
02.06.26	Los Angeles Sparks - Las Vegas Aces	69:79 ✺
30.05.26	Connecticut Sun - Los Angeles Sparks	84:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
21.05.26	Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks	88:97
09.09.25	Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks	83:87
26.08.25	Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury	84:92
01.06.25	Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury	80:85
21.05.25	Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks	89:86
17.09.24	Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury	81:85
07.07.24	Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury	78:84

Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide