Match Info

ACB - Round 8

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Gran Canaria Arena (Las Palmas)

Referee: Lucas Martinez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Poland	SportKlub
Portugal	DAZN 4
Spain	DAZN Espana


	Gran Canaria 2014		Barcelona

	1	2
	2.4	1.61	Watch
	2.42	1.56
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2.46	1.57	Watch
	1.95	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.95)	1.66 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gran Canaria 2014
42.6%

Barcelona
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gran Canaria 2014 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gran Canaria 2014's form might have worsened.

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Canaria 2014 than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gran Canaria 2014, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barcelona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Gran Canaria 2014 - Barcelona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 160.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 168, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Albicy A.	21. Clyburn W.
9. Brussino N.	0. Punter K.
21. Labeyrie L.	13. Satoransky T.
18. Tobey M.	23. Shengelia T.
2. Wong I.	6. Vesely J.
Substitutes
24. Angola B.	8. Brizuela D.
23. Kuath K.	3. Cale M.
1. Nzambi Maniema L.	19. Fall Y.
13. Pelos P.	14. Hernangomez W.
10. Salvo M.	20. Laprovittola N.
5. Samar Z.	2. Marcos J.
4. Vila Martinez E.	44. Parra J.
Coaches
. Lakovic J.	. Pascual X.

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gran Canaria won 0.

Gran Canaria is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barcelona has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gran Canaria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gran Canaria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 1539:1799. (average 77:90).

Including home matches between the teams, Gran Canaria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 839:951. (average 76.3:86.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gran Canaria 2014
Champions League Basketball
18.11.25	Le Mans - Gran Canaria 2014	88:90 ✺
Spanish ACB League
15.11.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Joventut Badalona	78:92 ✺
08.11.25	CB Breogán - Gran Canaria 2014	81:92 ✺
Champions League Basketball
05.11.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Spartak Subotica	77:62 ✺
Spanish ACB League
01.11.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - BC Andorra	102:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW
- FC Barcelona Basketball
Euroleague
20.11.25	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Barcelona	74:73 ✺
Spanish ACB League
16.11.25	Barcelona - Baskonia	91:83 ✺
Euroleague
14.11.25	Barcelona - Virtus Bologna	88:81 ✺
12.11.25	Bayern München - Barcelona	74:75 ✺
Spanish ACB League
09.11.25	Girona - Barcelona	96:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
20.04.25	Barcelona - Gran Canaria 2014	104:90
12.01.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Barcelona	74:77
05.05.24	Barcelona - Gran Canaria 2014	95:89 OT
15.10.23	Gran Canaria 2014 - Barcelona	73:83
22.04.23	Barcelona - Gran Canaria 2014	87:79
30.09.22	Gran Canaria 2014 - Barcelona	88:85
29.05.22	Gran Canaria 2014 - Barcelona	86:88

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