Match Info

Champions League - Round 5

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Antares (Le Mans)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Slovakia	Voyo


	Le Mans		Gran Canaria 2014

	1	2
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.51	2.45	Watch
	1.47	2.73
	1.74	1.92	Watch
	1.52	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)	2.4 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
60.7%

Gran Canaria 2014
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Le Mans's performance.

Gran Canaria 2014 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gran Canaria 2014 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Canaria 2014 than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.5%	0%	81.5%

Le Mans - Gran Canaria 2014 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 162.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 165.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, OT - Gran Canaria (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 81.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Gran Canaria (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Gran Canaria (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Gran Canaria 2014 will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gran Canaria 2014 will win (13 of 17 users predict this - 76.47%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 4 - 20%). Gran Canaria (votes: 16 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Berhanemeskel J.	23. Kuath K.
32. Dufeal L.	1. Nzambi Maniema L.
12. Hudgins T.	10. Salvo M. (C)
3. Williams T.	5. Samar Z.
15. Yeguete W. (C)	4. Vila Martinez E.
Substitutes
5. Bogues S.	24. Angola B.
34. DiLeo D.	3. Heinonen E.
10. Doumbia U.	21. Labeyrie L.
1. Grasshoff B.	27. Miteo M.
18. Jeanne J.	29. Panasiuk A.
4. Simonovic D.	13. Pelos P.
35. Thomas T.	2. Wong I.
Coaches
. Vizade G.	. Lakovic J.

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 204:229. (average 68:76.3).

Including home match between the teams, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 74:79.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans Sarthe Basket
French LNB
16.11.25	Le Mans - AS Monaco Basket	84:93 ✺
08.11.25	Le Mans - Strasbourg	72:84 ✺
Champions League Basketball
05.11.25	Benfica - Le Mans	93:90 ✺
French LNB
01.11.25	Cholet Basket - Le Mans	80:84 ✺
25.10.25	Le Mans - Le Portel	107:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWW
- Gran Canaria 2014
Spanish ACB League
15.11.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Joventut Badalona	78:92 ✺
08.11.25	CB Breogán - Gran Canaria 2014	81:92 ✺
Champions League Basketball
05.11.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Spartak Subotica	77:62 ✺
Spanish ACB League
01.11.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - BC Andorra	102:85 ✺
26.10.25	Girona - Gran Canaria 2014	85:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
15.10.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Le Mans	73:68
Eurocup
17.11.15	Gran Canaria 2014 - Le Mans	77:62
13.10.15	Le Mans - Gran Canaria 2014	74:79

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