Match Info

ACB - Round 9

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Coliseum Burgos (Burgos)

Referee: Merino C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana


	San Pablo Burgos		UCAM Murcia

	1	2
	2.65	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.54	1.53
	2.61	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.47
	2.72	1.48	Watch
	2.65	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (3.54)	1.49 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

San Pablo Burgos
36.3%

UCAM Murcia
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

73.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

78.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Pablo Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Pablo Burgos's performance.

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UCAM Murcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Pablo Burgos than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Pablo Burgos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UCAM Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

San Pablo Burgos - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. SP Burgos will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Murcia will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SP Burgos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:91

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Almazan P.	0. Cacok D.
40. Fischer L.	5. DeJulius D.
6. Gudmundsson J.	31. Ennis D.
56. Jackson J.	99. Nakic T.
00. Samuels J.	2. Raieste S.
Substitutes
10. Corbalan G.	15. Cate E.
11. Diez D.	21. Diagne M.
27. Happ E.	13. Falk W.
23. Meindl L.	1. Forrest M.
19. Neto R.	6. Garcia D.
3. Nzosa Y.	24. Hicks Z.
7. Rubio J.	8. Sant-Roos H.
Coaches
. Savignani B.	. Alonso S.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera FEB and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SP Burgos won 4.

SP Burgos has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Murcia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Murcia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Murcia is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, SP Burgos won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 734:724. (average 81.6:80.4).

Including home matches between the teams, SP Burgos won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 438:427. (average 87.6:85.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Pablo Burgos
Spanish ACB League
22.11.25	CB Breogán - San Pablo Burgos	105:78 ✺
15.11.25	San Pablo Burgos - BC Andorra	86:93 ✺
08.11.25	Canarias - San Pablo Burgos	101:97 ✺
02.11.25	Valencia - San Pablo Burgos	100:82 ✺
25.10.25	San Pablo Burgos - Basket Zaragoza	89:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- UCAM Murcia
Spanish ACB League
22.11.25	Força Lleida CE - UCAM Murcia	71:107 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
19.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Start Lublin	80:75 ✺
Spanish ACB League
16.11.25	UCAM Murcia - CB Breogán	83:96 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
11.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Bosna	87:63 ✺
Spanish ACB League
08.11.25	UCAM Murcia - Basquet Manresa	84:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
09.03.22	UCAM Murcia - San Pablo Burgos	83:89
11.12.21	San Pablo Burgos - UCAM Murcia	84:102
23.01.21	UCAM Murcia - San Pablo Burgos	75:81
12.11.20	San Pablo Burgos - UCAM Murcia	89:84
12.10.19	San Pablo Burgos - UCAM Murcia	92:82
18.05.19	San Pablo Burgos - UCAM Murcia	84:73
14.10.18	UCAM Murcia - San Pablo Burgos	72:62

Upcoming Matches