Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 6

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: National Basketball Performance Centre (Manchester) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
Sweden	16:00	DAZN


	Great Britain		Iceland

	1	2
	1.95	1.74	Watch
	1.98	1.78
	2.05	1.72	Watch
	2.06	1.70
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.68
	1.94	1.80
	2.01	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.48)	1.74 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Great Britain
46.5%

Iceland
53.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Great Britain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Great Britain's form might have worsened.

Iceland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Iceland's recent form is better than expected.

Great Britain - Iceland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Hesson M. Mykonos	10. Fridriksson E. Tenerife
6. Nelson L. Soproni KC	6. Gudmundsson J.
7. O'Garro J.	15. Hermannsson M. (C) Alba Berlin
0. Olaseni G. Zaragoza	32. Hlinason T. Bilbao
24. Wheatle C. (C) Venezia	14. Palsson K.
Substitutes
5. Adamu A.	11. Atlason A. KR Basket Reykjavik
13. Belo J. Promitheas	16. Gudmundsson B. Armann
77. Boardman-Raffet F. Leicester Riders	5. Henningsson H. Stjarnan
9. Brown J. Bristol Flyers	41. Jonsson B. Stjarnan
32. Okonkwo J.	18. Petursson S. Alftanes
40. Trumper S. Naestved	9. Thorbjarnarson T. KR Basket Reykjavik
11. Uduje J. St. Chamond	34. Thrastarson S. Zamora
Coaches
. Steutel M.	. Pedersen C.

Preview

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Great Britain won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 229:238. (average 76.3:79.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Great Britain basketball
World Championship Basketball
02.07.26	Lithuania - Great Britain	105:85 ✺
02.03.26	Italy - Great Britain	84:75 ✺
27.02.26	Great Britain - Italy	57:93 ✺
30.11.25	Iceland - Great Britain	84:90 ✺
27.11.25	Great Britain - Lithuania	88:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Iceland basketball
World Championship Basketball
02.07.26	Iceland - Italy	83:102 ✺
02.03.26	Lithuania - Iceland	99:82 ✺
27.02.26	Iceland - Lithuania	86:85 ✺
30.11.25	Iceland - Great Britain	84:90 ✺
27.11.25	Italy - Iceland	76:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
30.11.25	Iceland - Great Britain	84:90
EuroBasket
20.08.14	Great Britain - Iceland	69:71
10.08.14	Iceland - Great Britain	83:70

Great Britain - Iceland