Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 4

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Modigliani Forum (Livorno) 🌤️ ...


	Italy		Great Britain

	1	2
	1.14	5	Watch
	1.11	5.65	Watch
	1.16	5.1
	1.13	5.53	Watch
	1.15	4.7
	1.15	5.05
	1.07	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↑ (1.07)	5.58 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
83.1%

Great Britain
16.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

88.2%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Italy's form might have worsened.

Great Britain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Great Britain's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Italy - Great Britain Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Great Britain will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 1 - 50%). Great Britain (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mannion N. Milano	13. Belo J. Promitheas
20. Niang S. Virtus Bologna	1. Ellis Q. Milano
19. Procida G. Real Madrid	22. Hesson M. Mykonos
16. Tessitori A. Venezia	24. Wheatle C. Venezia
7. Tonut S. Milano	15. Yeboah A. Trabzonspor
Substitutes
45. Akele N. Virtus Bologna	5. Adamu A.
00. Della V. A. Brescia	30. Akin D. Kolossos Rhodes
12. Flaccadori D. Milano	6. Nelson L. Soproni KC
77. Petrucelli J. Galatasaray	0. Olaseni G. Mersin SK
17. Ricci G. Milano	11. Uduje J. St. Chamond
0. Spissu M. Zaragoza	7. Watson-Gayle J. Cherno More
26. Suigo L. Mega Basket	31. Williams D. London Lions
Coaches
. Banchi L.	. Steutel M.

Preview

In this match, Italy is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Italy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 183:113. (average 91.5:56.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy basketball
World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Great Britain - Italy	57:93 ✺
30.11.25	Lithuania - Italy	81:82 ✺
27.11.25	Italy - Iceland	76:81 ✺
EuroBasket
07.09.25	Italy - Slovenia	77:84 ✺
04.09.25	Italy - Cyprus	89:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLW
- Great Britain basketball
World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Great Britain - Italy	57:93 ✺
30.11.25	Iceland - Great Britain	84:90 ✺
27.11.25	Great Britain - Lithuania	88:89 ✺
EuroBasket
03.09.25	Montenegro - Great Britain	83:89 ✺
01.09.25	Germany - Great Britain	120:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Great Britain - Italy	57:93
EuroBasket
08.09.22	Great Britain - Italy	56:90

Italy - Great Britain