Match Info

EuroBasket - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Finland	Ruutu+
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	ERT 1, Nova Sports Start
Hungary	M4 Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
World	Court Side 1891


	Greece		Israel

	1	2
	1.28	3.8	Watch
	1.25	4
	1.32	3.55	Watch
	1.28	3.81
	1.21	3.87	Watch
	1.32	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.12)	3.78 ↓ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greece
74.7%

Israel
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.5%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greece has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Greece's form might have worsened.

Israel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Israel's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Greece - Israel Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Greece will win (votes: 25 - 64.1%). Israel will win (votes: 14 - 35.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Greece: 49% – 79.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Greece (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Israel (votes: 7 - 38.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +8.5, OT - Israel (1.76) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 161, OT - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +10.5 - Israel (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Greece (votes: 11 - 50%). Israel (votes: 11 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Antetokounmpo G. Milwaukee Bucks	8. Avdija D. Portland Trail Blazers
2. Dorsey T. Olympiacos Piraeus	41. Ginat T. (C) Hapoel Tel-Aviv
44. Mitoglou K. Panathinaikos	11. Madar Y. Hapoel Tel-Aviv
16. Papanikolaou K. (C) Olympiacos Piraeus	99. Palatin G. Hapoel Tel-Aviv
10. Sloukas K. Panathinaikos	6. Segev I. Ironi Nes Ziona
Substitutes
37. Antetokounmpo K. Murcia	35. Burg E. Bnei Herzliya
43. Antetokounmpo T.	3. Carrington K. Hapoel Jerusalem
11. Kalaitzakis P. Panathinaikos	15. Levi N. Hapoel Jerusalem
19. Katsivelis D. PAOK	12. Menco R. Maccabi Tel Aviv
5. Larentzakis G. Olympiacos Piraeus	9. Sorkin R. Maccabi Tel Aviv
20. Samontourov A.	10. Timor B. Hapoel Tel-Aviv
7. Toliopoulos V. Panathinaikos	50. Zoosman Y. Hapoel Jerusalem
Coaches
. Spanoulis V.	. Bet Halahmi A.

Preview

Greece is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Israel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Greece is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Greece won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 236:214. (average 78.7:71.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greece basketball
EuroBasket
04.09.25	Spain - Greece	86:90 ✺
02.09.25	Greece - Bosnia and Herzegovina	77:80 ✺
31.08.25	Georgia - Greece	53:94 ✺
30.08.25	Cyprus - Greece	69:96 ✺
28.08.25	Greece - Italy	75:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWW
- Israel basketball
EuroBasket
04.09.25	Israel - Slovenia	96:106 ✺
02.09.25	Belgium - Israel	89:92 ✺
31.08.25	Israel - France	82:69 ✺
30.08.25	Poland - Israel	66:64 ✺
28.08.25	Israel - Iceland	83:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Basketball
10.08.25	Greece - Israel	58:75
World Championship Basketball
28.06.18	Israel - Greece	78:96
27.11.17	Greece - Israel	82:61

Greece - Israel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide