Match Info

EuroBasket - Round 5

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Spyros Kyprianou Arena (Limassol) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	15:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub 2
Czech Republic	20:30	CT sport
Finland	21:30	Ruutu+
France	20:30	beIN Sports 1
Germany	20:30	Magenta Sport
Greece	21:30	Alpha TV, ERT 1, Nova Sports Start
Hungary	20:30	M4 Sport
Italy	20:30	DAZN Italia
Serbia	20:30	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	20:30	SportKlub 2
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Sweden	20:30	SVT 24, SVT Play
Ukraine	21:30	Kyivstar TV
International	18:30	Court Side 1891


	Spain		Greece

	1	2
	3.25	1.36	Watch
	3.75	1.28	Watch
	3.15	1.39	Watch
	3.04	1.4
	4.24	1.20	Watch
	3.24	1.39	Watch
	3.35	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3.35)	1.33 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spain
28%

Greece
72%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Spain have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Greece have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spain than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greece than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Greece, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.4%	0%	11.6%

Spain - Greece Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Spain will win (votes: 38 - 88.4%). Greece will win (votes: 5 - 11.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 78.8% – 98%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3, OT - Spain (3.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 160.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Spain (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Spain (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 153, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Spain will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Spain (votes: 24 - 85.7%). Greece (votes: 4 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Aldama S. Memphis Grizzlies	34. Antetokounmpo G. Milwaukee Bucks
3. De Larrea S. Valencia	2. Dorsey T. Olympiacos Piraeus
44. Parra J. Barcelona	19. Katsivelis D. PAOK
4. Pradilla J. Valencia	16. Papanikolaou K. (C) Olympiacos Piraeus
22. Yusta S. Zaragoza	10. Sloukas K. Panathinaikos
Substitutes
8. Brizuela D. Barcelona	37. Antetokounmpo K. Murcia
41. Hernangomez J. Panathinaikos	43. Antetokounmpo T.
14. Hernangomez W. (C) Barcelona	11. Kalaitzakis P. Panathinaikos
6. Lopez-Arostegui X. Valencia	5. Larentzakis G. Olympiacos Piraeus
2. Puerto J. Valencia	44. Mitoglou K. Panathinaikos
5. Saint-Supery M. Manresa	20. Samontourov A.
77. Sima Y. Unicaja	7. Toliopoulos V. Panathinaikos
Coaches
. Scariolo S.	. Spanoulis V.

Preview

Greece is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Greece is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 389:393. (average 77.8:78.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spain basketball
EuroBasket
02.09.25	Italy - Spain	67:63 ✺
31.08.25	Spain - Cyprus	91:47 ✺
30.08.25	Spain - Bosnia and Herzegovina	88:67 ✺
28.08.25	Georgia - Spain	83:69 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
23.08.25	Germany - Spain	95:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWWLL
- Greece basketball
EuroBasket
02.09.25	Greece - Bosnia and Herzegovina	77:80 ✺
31.08.25	Georgia - Greece	53:94 ✺
30.08.25	Cyprus - Greece	69:96 ✺
28.08.25	Greece - Italy	75:66 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
24.08.25	Greece - France	77:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Basketball
30.07.24	Spain - Greece	84:77
Friendly International Basketball
11.08.22	Spain - Greece	87:80
09.08.22	Greece - Spain	86:70
EuroBasket
15.09.15	Spain - Greece	73:71
12.09.13	Greece - Spain	79:75

Spain - Greece: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide