Match Info

CBA

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Dongguan Basketball Center (Dongguan)


	Guangdong Southern Tigers		Xinjiang Flying Tigers

	1	2
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.4
	1.32	3.22
	1.28	3.53	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.24	3.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.65)	3.47 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangdong Southern Tigers
73%

Xinjiang Flying Tigers
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong Southern Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangdong Southern Tigers's performance.

Xinjiang Flying Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xinjiang Flying Tigers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Southern Tigers than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangdong Southern Tigers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinjiang Flying Tigers than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xinjiang Flying Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guangdong Southern Tigers - Xinjiang Flying Tigers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangdong (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Guangdong (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Guangdong Southern Tigers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangdong (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:82

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Lineups


5. Chen Jiazheng	23. Abudurexiti Abudushalamu
24. Choi Young-Hee	10. Feng Ao
18. Du Runwang	36. Haoran Ge
6. Huang M.	00. Harris K.
3. Hu Mingxuan	5. Lawson D.
16. Jiao Boqiao	13. Li Yanzhe
22 . McCall T.	7. Mennenga S.
10. Queen T.	4. Monhetaner Yilifulati
0. Sullinger J.	1. Nutall Z.
1. Sumner E.	19. Qu Xiaoyu
41. Wang Hongze.	6. Rui Yang
2. Xu Jie	34. Tuxun Aizimaiti
Coaches
. Feng Du	. Adijiang Xin

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangdong won 2.

Guangdong has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Xinjiang has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Xinjiang has had a series of home games.

In this match, Guangdong is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guangdong won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2265:2079. (average 113.3:104).

Including home matches between the teams, Guangdong won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1068:979. (average 118.7:108.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Guangdong Southern Tigers - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.23%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangdong Southern Tigers Basketball
CBA
15.03.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Liaoning Dinosaurs	73:89 ✺
13.03.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Guangdong Southern Tigers	97:101 ✺
11.03.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangdong Southern Tigers	82:80 ✺
Chinese CBA Club Cup
06.02.26	Shanghai Sharks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	113:104 ✺
CBA
03.02.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Shanghai Sharks	84:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL
- Xinjiang Flying Tigers
CBA
15.03.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Beijing Royal Fighters	103:89 ✺
13.03.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Jilin Northeast Tigers	82:89 ✺
11.03.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangdong Southern Tigers	82:80 ✺
03.02.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Zhejiang Golden Bulls	59:61 ✺
01.02.26	Sichuan Blue Whales - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	47:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

CBA
11.03.26	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangdong Southern Tigers	82:80
10.03.25	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangdong Southern Tigers	87:106
20.10.24	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	102:95
07.01.24	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	110:114
15.12.23	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangdong Southern Tigers	110:88
05.04.23	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	108:95
28.10.22	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangdong Southern Tigers	81:100

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