Match Info

CBA

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Tianhe Gymnasium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou Long-Lions		Jilin Northeast Tigers

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.3	3.26	Watch
	1.4	2.88
	1.32	3.24	Watch
	2.15	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.93)	2.75 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Long-Lions
64.8%

Jilin Northeast Tigers
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Long-Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangzhou Long-Lions's performance.

Jilin Northeast Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jilin Northeast Tigers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Long-Lions than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangzhou Long-Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jilin Northeast Tigers than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jilin Northeast Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	0%	15.8%

Guangzhou Long Lions - Jilin Northeast Tigers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5, OT - Guangzhou (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2, OT - Jilin (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 178, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Guangzhou Long-Lions will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guangzhou Long-Lions will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangzhou (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Jilin (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:87

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Lineups


23. Guohao C.	99. Apson Z.
8. Holiday J.	5. Cui Jinming
12. Li Xiangbo	0. Duan Liqian
27. Lu Jiahui	15. Gailey J.
4. Thomas E.	22. Jia Hao
10. Wan Mengfei	11. Jiang Weize
7. Weiyun S.	35. Liu Yanyu
28. Wigginton L.	23. Luan Licheng
19. Xin Dayi X.	14. Moore D.
2. Xingliang Z.	1. Wilson D.
11. Yancheng L.	17. Yang Tengfei
5. Zhaoyao Y.	33. Zeng Fanri
Coaches
. Mitchell N.	. Zhong Cheng

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 3.

In recent matches, Guangzhou has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jilin is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jilin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Guangzhou has had a series of away games.

Recently, Jilin has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2128:2109. (average 106.4:105.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Guangzhou won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1137:1099. (average 113.7:109.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Long-Lions
CBA
26.12.25	Fujian Xunxing - Guangzhou Long-Lions	97:84 ✺
23.12.25	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Guangdong Southern Tigers	85:93 ✺
21.12.25	Jiangsu Dragons - Guangzhou Long-Lions	86:93 ✺
19.12.25	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	97:94 ✺
13.12.25	Sichuan Blue Whales - Guangzhou Long-Lions	66:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLW
- Jilin Northeast Tigers
CBA
24.12.25	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Beijing Royal Fighters	87:73 ✺
22.12.25	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Ningbo Rockets	82:77 ✺
20.12.25	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Xinjiang Flying Tigers	92:86 ✺
18.12.25	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Tianjin Ronggang	90:80 ✺
16.12.25	Shenzhen Leopards - Jilin Northeast Tigers	99:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

CBA
31.03.25	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Jilin Northeast Tigers	102:103
24.03.25	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	90:104
30.11.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Jilin Northeast Tigers	140:117
01.11.24	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	114:94
14.03.24	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	100:115
24.12.23	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Jilin Northeast Tigers	129:122
05.04.23	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	87:104

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