Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 19 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Pais Arena (Jerusalem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Hapoel Jerusalem		AEK Athens

	1	2
	1.27	3.65	Watch
	1.28	3.4
	1.29	3.6
	1.27	3.94
	1.29	3.5
	1.24	4.15	Watch
	1.26	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.35)	3.68 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Jerusalem
74.3%

AEK Athens
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Jerusalem's performance.

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Athens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Hapoel Jerusalem - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: Hapoel Jerusalem will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:71

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Preview

3rd leg. Series tied 1-1.

Hapoel Jerusalem is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Jerusalem won 2.

Recent matches Hapoel Jerusalem is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

AEK is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

AEK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hapoel Jerusalem have a series of home games.

In this match Hapoel Jerusalem is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hapoel Jerusalem won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 608-629.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Jerusalem won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 299-294.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Hapoel Jerusalem
Israeli Basketball Super League
15.04.23	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Holon	75:66 ✺
Champions League Basketball
12.04.23	AEK Athens - Hapoel Jerusalem	94:78 ✺
04.04.23	Hapoel Jerusalem - AEK Athens	62:55 ✺
Israeli Basketball Super League
02.04.23	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Tel Aviv	74:88 ✺
28.03.23	Hapoel Jerusalem - Ironi Nes Ziona	78:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLW
- AEK Athens BC
Champions League Basketball
12.04.23	AEK Athens - Hapoel Jerusalem	94:78 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
09.04.23	AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	78:85 ✺
Champions League Basketball
04.04.23	Hapoel Jerusalem - AEK Athens	62:55 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
01.04.23	PAOK - AEK Athens	78:72 ✺
30.03.23	Promitheas Patras - AEK Athens	85:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
12.04.23	AEK Athens - Hapoel Jerusalem	94:78
04.04.23	Hapoel Jerusalem - AEK Athens	62:55
18.12.19	AEK Athens - Hapoel Jerusalem	91:78
23.10.19	Hapoel Jerusalem - AEK Athens	85:78
11.12.18	Hapoel Jerusalem - AEK Athens	70:83
10.10.18	AEK Athens - Hapoel Jerusalem	75:79
Eurocup
09.12.15	Hapoel Jerusalem - AEK Athens	82:78

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