Match Info

Korisliiga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Toolo Sports Hall (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Helsinki Seagulls		Joensuun Kataja

	1	2
	1.92	1.8
	1.93	1.89
	1.89	1.83
	1.85	1.8
	1.88	1.86
	1.94	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.95)	1.82 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsinki Seagulls
48.9%

Joensuun Kataja
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsinki Seagulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Joensuun Kataja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsinki Seagulls than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joensuun Kataja than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Helsinki Seagulls - Joensuun Kataja Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Helsinki Seagulls will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Joensuun Kataja will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henry J.	2. Harmon D.
55. Keeling C.	32. Hollis-Jefferson R.
3. Ross K.	55. Kantonen H.
4. Rougeau R. (C)	3. Kimbrough J.
47. Waxlax R.	23. Tumba T.
Substitutes
0. Chukwuma C.	18. Kanervo A.
10. Heinonen O.	21. Knihtinen T. (C)
25. Hervola L.	10. Lahdetniemi E.
40. Kilpinen J.	4. Marshall J.
5. Leskinen E.	45. Permanto H.
2. Niemi T.	5. Timonen J.
23. Pietrzyk M.
Coaches
. Saukkola T.	. Virtanen P.

Preview

Series tied 3-3. Seventh leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helsinki Seagulls won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helsinki Seagulls won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1768:1609. (average 88.4:80.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Helsinki Seagulls won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 894:802. (average 89.4:80.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Kataja	3	2	1	273:245	4
5	Helsinki Seagulls	4	2	2	310:316	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsinki Seagulls
Finnish Korisliiga
26.04.26	Joensuun Kataja - Helsinki Seagulls	71:74 ✺
24.04.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Joensuun Kataja	64:69 ✺
21.04.26	Joensuun Kataja - Helsinki Seagulls	107:100 ✺
18.04.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Joensuun Kataja	72:92 ✺
15.04.26	Joensuun Kataja - Helsinki Seagulls	80:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLLW
- Joensuun Kataja
Finnish Korisliiga
26.04.26	Joensuun Kataja - Helsinki Seagulls	71:74 ✺
24.04.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Joensuun Kataja	64:69 ✺
21.04.26	Joensuun Kataja - Helsinki Seagulls	107:100 ✺
18.04.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Joensuun Kataja	72:92 ✺
15.04.26	Joensuun Kataja - Helsinki Seagulls	80:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
26.04.26	Joensuun Kataja - Helsinki Seagulls	71:74
24.04.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Joensuun Kataja	64:69
21.04.26	Joensuun Kataja - Helsinki Seagulls	107:100
18.04.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Joensuun Kataja	72:92
15.04.26	Joensuun Kataja - Helsinki Seagulls	80:85
12.04.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Joensuun Kataja	86:76
28.12.25	Helsinki Seagulls - Joensuun Kataja	92:100

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