Match Info

NBL1 East

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Hornsby Spiders		Newcastle Falcons

	1	2
			Watch
	1.60	2.18
	1.68	2.06
	1.67	2.12
	1.66	2.06	Watch
	1.70	2.15
	1.67	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.8)	2.1 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornsby Spiders
55.8%

Newcastle Falcons
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornsby Spiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hornsby Spiders's performance.

Newcastle Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle Falcons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornsby Spiders than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hornsby Spiders that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Falcons than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Falcons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hornsby Spiders - Newcastle Falcons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:79

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Preview

Recent performances by Hornsby Spiders have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Newcastle is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Hornsby Spiders will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hornsby Spiders won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 283:324. (average 70.8:81).

Including home matches between the teams, Hornsby Spiders won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 177:181. (average 88.5:90.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hornsby Spiders
Australian NBL1 East
13.06.26	Sutherland Sharks - Hornsby Spiders	87:95 ✺
31.05.26	Hornsby Spiders - Canberra Gunners	109:108 OT ✺
23.05.26	Canberra Gunners - Hornsby Spiders	63:73 ✺
16.05.26	Hornsby Spiders - Inner West Bulls	84:91 ✺
09.05.26	Norths Bears - Hornsby Spiders	102:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.1 WWWLL
- Newcastle Falcons Basketball
Australian NBL1 East
13.06.26	Bankstown Bruins - Newcastle Falcons	85:78 ✺
23.05.26	Newcastle Falcons - Illawarra Hawks 2	69:94 ✺
16.05.26	Newcastle Falcons - Maitland Mustangs	81:73 ✺
09.05.26	Norths Bears - Newcastle Falcons	95:80 ✺
03.05.26	Newcastle Falcons - Inner West Bulls	81:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 East
17.05.25	Hornsby Spiders - Newcastle Falcons	80:77
06.07.24	Hornsby Spiders - Newcastle Falcons	97:104
20.04.24	Newcastle Falcons - Hornsby Spiders	81:61
17.06.23	Newcastle Falcons - Hornsby Spiders	62:45

Hornsby Spiders - Newcastle Falcons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide