What is the expert prediction for Houston Rockets vs Philadelphia 76ers?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Houston Rockets vs Philadelphia 76ers. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Houston Rockets vs Philadelphia 76ers Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, April 09, 2026)

Match Info

NBA

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Toyota Center (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	NBA Global League Pass


	Houston Rockets		Philadelphia 76ers

	1	2
	1.4	3.05	Watch
	1.44	2.8
	1.44	2.99
	1.42	3.08	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.43	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.6)	2.99 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 226.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Rockets
67.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Rockets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Houston Rockets's performance.

Philadelphia 76ers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia 76ers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Rockets than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Houston Rockets that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia 76ers than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia 76ers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.5%	0%	4.5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Houston Rockets will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Houston Rockets will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 116:110

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Durant K.	9. Oubre K. J.
10. Smith Jr. J.	8. George P.
28. Sengun A.	30. Bona Adem
20. Okogie J.	77. Edgecombe Jr. V.
1. Thompson A.	0. Maxey T.
Substitutes
30. Capela C.	25. Barlow D.
27. Crawford I.	16. Beauchamp M.
4. Davison J.	1. Drummond A.
17. Eason T.	11. Edwards J.
2. Finney-Smith D.	5. Grimes Q.
32. Green Je.	7. Lowry K.
0. Holiday A.	23. Martin T.
00. Newton T.	33. Walker J.
15. Sheppard R.	12. Watford T.
8. Tate J.
Coaches
. Udoka I.	. Nurse N.

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Houston is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2.

Houston is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Philadelphia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Houston might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Houston: Adams S. (Ankle Injury) VanVleet F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Philadelphia: Broome J. (Knee Injury) Payne C. (Hamstring Injury)

We predict that Houston will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2280:2361. (average 114:118.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1152:1173. (average 115.2:117.3).

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Last Results with these Odds

Houston Rockets - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 59.39%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Philadelphia 76ers - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.61%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Rockets
NBA
07.04.26	Phoenix Suns - Houston Rockets	105:119 ✺
05.04.26	Golden State Warriors - Houston Rockets	116:117 ✺
03.04.26	Houston Rockets - Utah Jazz	140:106 ✺
01.04.26	Houston Rockets - Milwaukee Bucks	119:113 ✺
31.03.26	Houston Rockets - New York Knicks	111:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW
- Philadelphia 76ers
NBA
06.04.26	San Antonio Spurs - Philadelphia 76ers	115:102 ✺
04.04.26	Philadelphia 76ers - Detroit Pistons	93:116 ✺
03.04.26	Philadelphia 76ers - Minnesota Timberwolves	115:103 ✺
01.04.26	Washington Wizards - Philadelphia 76ers	131:153 ✺
30.03.26	Miami Heat - Philadelphia 76ers	119:109 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
22.01.26	Philadelphia 76ers - Houston Rockets	128:122 OT
17.03.25	Houston Rockets - Philadelphia 76ers	144:137 OT
27.11.24	Philadelphia 76ers - Houston Rockets	115:122 OT
15.01.24	Philadelphia 76ers - Houston Rockets	124:115
29.12.23	Houston Rockets - Philadelphia 76ers	127:131
13.02.23	Philadelphia 76ers - Houston Rockets	123:104
05.12.22	Houston Rockets - Philadelphia 76ers	132:123 OT (108:108)

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