What is the expert prediction for Iceland vs Belgium?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Iceland vs Belgium. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Iceland vs Belgium Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, August 30, 2025)

Match Info

EuroBasket - Round 2

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Spodek (Katowice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza, VRT Canvas
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Iceland	RUV
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 9
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Spain	DAZN Espana
World	Court Side 1891


	Iceland		Belgium

	1	2
	2.25	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.19	1.71
	2.23	1.72
	2.26	1.56	Watch
	2.2	1.7
	2.26	1.7
	2.35	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.65)	1.67 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iceland
42.6%

Belgium
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iceland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iceland's performance.

Belgium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belgium might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	0%	17.4%

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Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Iceland (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Belgium (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5, OT - Belgium (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5, OT - Belgium (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4, OT - Iceland (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Iceland will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Iceland (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Belgium (votes: 7 - 41.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Fridriksson E. Maroussi	19. Bako I. Unics Kazan
5. Henningsson H. Stjarnan	4. Lecomte E. Start Lublin
15. Hermannsson M. Alba Berlin	8. Mwema J. Alicante
32. Hlinason T. Bilbao	11. Schwartz L. Saint Quentin
14. Palsson K. Valur	10. Vanwijn H. Merkezefendi
Substitutes
11. Atlason A.	44. Guisse M. Limoges
66. Bjornsson S. Tindastoll	29. Ledegen S. Okapi Aalst
6. Gudmundsson J. San Pablo Burgos	36. Mennes J. Oostende
29. Gunnarsson O. Stjarnan	41. Tshimanga G. Circus Brussels
12. Jonsson K. Valur	16. Tumba K. Antwerp Giants
3. Steinarsson A. Stjarnan	34. Van den Eynde N. Okapi Aalst
34. Thrastarson S. Belfius Mons	24. Van Vliet A. Gravelines-Dunkerque
Coaches
. Pedersen C.	. Gjergja D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iceland won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Belgium is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Iceland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 481:549. (average 68.7:78.4).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iceland basketball
EuroBasket
28.08.25	Israel - Iceland	83:71 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
22.08.25	Lithuania - Iceland	96:83 ✺
15.08.25	Portugal - Iceland	83:79 ✺
14.08.25	Sweden - Iceland	70:73 ✺
03.08.25	Poland - Iceland	92:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWL
- Belgium basketball
EuroBasket
28.08.25	Belgium - France	64:92 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
17.08.25	Belgium - Bosnia and Herzegovina	60:73 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
15.08.25	Belgium - Great Britain	84:72 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
11.08.25	Finland - Belgium	92:74 ✺
06.08.25	Greece - Belgium	74:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

EuroBasket
24.02.19	Belgium - Iceland	90:62
29.11.18	Iceland - Belgium	66:79
Friendly International Basketball
29.07.17	Iceland - Belgium	85:70
27.07.17	Iceland - Belgium	83:76
EuroBasket
17.09.16	Iceland - Belgium	74:68
07.09.16	Belgium - Iceland	80:65
Friendly International Basketball
30.08.15	Belgium - Iceland	86:46

Iceland - Belgium: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide