The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Illawarra Hawks 51.1%
South East Melbourne Phoenix 48.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
56.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
56%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Illawarra Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illawarra Hawks's performance.
South East Melbourne Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South East Melbourne Phoenix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illawarra Hawks than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illawarra Hawks that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for South East Melbourne Phoenix than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South East Melbourne Phoenix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Illawarra Hawks - South East Melbourne Phoenix Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Illawarra will win (votes: 2 - 40%). South East Melbourne will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Illawarra (votes: 2 - 33.3%). South East Melbourne (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 183.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:95
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Harvey T. (C)
0. Brown J.
6. Hickey W.
11. Foster D.
0. McGee J.
1. Hunter J.
22. Peatling M.
25. Iwundu W.
9. Swaka W.
20. Sobey N. (C)
Substitutes
14. Bayles B.
7. Aliir A.
21. Blanchfield T.
12. Gak G.
31. Froling H.
5. Glover A.
11. Grida D.
24. Maldonado H.
10. McDowell-White K.
8. Mitchell D.
16. Narkle J.
2. Ryan P.
77. Peterson QJ
19. Yates L.
Coaches
. Tatum J.
. King J.
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Illawarra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1860:1876. (average 93:93.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Illawarra won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 981:916. (average 98.1:91.6).
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Harvey T. (C) 
Hickey W. 
100% bonus on 1st bet up to €200 in free bet
