Match Info

NBL - Round 10

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Brisbane Entertainment Centre (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Brisbane Bullets		South East Melbourne Phoenix

	1	2
			Watch
	3.15	1.33
	2.81	1.39
	2.89	1.33	Watch
	3.41	1.34	Watch
	3.1	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.89)	1.35 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 191.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Bullets
30.6%

South East Melbourne Phoenix
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Bullets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

South East Melbourne Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Bullets than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South East Melbourne Phoenix than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Brisbane Bullets - South East Melbourne Phoenix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:100

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Ducas A.	0. Brown J.
24. Harrison T.	30. Foxwell O.
31. Mathias D.	1. Hunter J. (C)
0. Murray T.	25. Iwundu W.
8. Norton M. (C)	20. Sobey N.
Substitutes
20. Anderson L.	7. Aliir A.
50. Bradtke J.	11. Foster D.
6. Devers T.	12. Gak G.
15. Holt J.	5. Glover A.
13. Patterson L.	8. Mitchell D.
12. Purchase J.	2. Ryan P.
18. Smith-Milner T.
Coaches
. Lash S.	. King J.

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Bullets won 3.

Recent performances by Brisbane Bullets have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

South East Melbourne is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, South East Melbourne is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Bullets won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1798:1875. (average 89.9:93.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Bullets won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1018:1058. (average 92.5:96.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Bullets
Australian NBL
15.11.25	Melbourne United - Brisbane Bullets	99:93 ✺
12.11.25	Brisbane Bullets - New Zealand Breakers	84:113 ✺
08.11.25	Tasmania JackJumpers - Brisbane Bullets	81:83 ✺
01.11.25	Brisbane Bullets - Sydney Kings	79:116 ✺
30.10.25	Brisbane Bullets - Cairns Taipans	113:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLW
- South East Melbourne Phoenix
Australian NBL
14.11.25	Cairns Taipans - South East Melbourne Phoenix	90:101 ✺
08.11.25	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Melbourne United	81:92 ✺
06.11.25	Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix	102:103 ✺
01.11.25	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Perth Wildcats	94:89 ✺
25.10.25	Brisbane Bullets - South East Melbourne Phoenix	86:109 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
25.10.25	Brisbane Bullets - South East Melbourne Phoenix	86:109
11.01.25	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Brisbane Bullets	105:86
12.12.24	Brisbane Bullets - South East Melbourne Phoenix	116:108
12.10.24	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Brisbane Bullets	85:87
30.12.23	Brisbane Bullets - South East Melbourne Phoenix	95:83
02.11.23	Brisbane Bullets - South East Melbourne Phoenix	108:92
21.10.23	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Brisbane Bullets	96:73

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