The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Illawarra Hawks 28.7%
Sydney Kings 71.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.1%
68.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
63.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Illawarra Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Sydney Kings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illawarra Hawks than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illawarra Hawks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Kings than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydney Kings, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 208.5, OT - over (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:104
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Doyle M.
10. Cooks X.
13. Froling S.
2. Craig T.
1. Harvey T.
1. Davis K.
44. Maker M.
15. Maluach M.
9. Swaka W.
9. Wessels H.
Substitutes
21. Blanchfield T.
22. Bofinger L.
11. Grida D.
11. Carr A.
6. Hickey W.
4. Johnston W.
25. Macdonald F.
3. Robertson T.
30. Martin K.
14. Spurgin J.
10. McGregor B.
7. Stone J.
16. Narkle J.
24. Patterson L.
Coaches
. Tatum J.
. Goorjian B.
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 10th and 2nd in the Promotion - NBL Playoffs - Semi - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 0.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Recently, Sydney has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Sydney is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Illawarra has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1795:1935 (averaging 89.8:96.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Illawarra against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 765:852 goals (averaging 85:94.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
L
PCT
2
Sydney
7
5
2
714:617
0.714
10
Illawarra Hawks
9
2
7
871:953
0.222
Outrights of Australian NBL for now
Illawarra Hawks: 6.16%
Last Results with these Odds
Illawarra Hawks - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.12%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Australia
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Doyle M. 
Cooks X. 
Craig T. 
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