Match Info

PORTUGAL: PROLIGA - WINNERS STAGE

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste (Ílhavo)


	Illiabum		Santo André

	1	2
	2.1	1.62
	2.13	1.72
	2.13	1.72
	2.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.6)	1.67 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illiabum
43.8%

Santo André
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illiabum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illiabum's form might have worsened.

Santo André has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santo André's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illiabum than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illiabum, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santo André, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Illiabum - Santo André Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:79

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Illiabum could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Illiabum will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Illiabum won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 241-227.

Including matches at home between the teams Illiabum won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 91-94.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illiabum Clube
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
09.03.24	Illiabum - Galitos Barreiro	74:85 ✺
02.03.24	CAQ Queluz - Illiabum	82:77 ✺
24.02.24	Illiabum - Madeira	84:80 ✺
17.02.24	Santo André - Illiabum	66:69 ✺
04.02.24	Braga - Illiabum	60:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWW
- ABC Santo André
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
09.03.24	Braga - Santo André	57:72 ✺
06.03.24	Alianca Sangalhos - Santo André	82:97 ✺
02.03.24	Santo André - Maia	82:89 OT ✺
17.02.24	Santo André - Illiabum	66:69 ✺
04.02.24	Santo André - Galitos Barreiro	71:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
17.02.24	Santo André - Illiabum	66:69
18.03.23	Santo André - Illiabum	67:81
18.02.23	Illiabum - Santo André	91:94

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