Match Info

NCAA

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Illinois-Chicago Flames		Illinois State Redbirds

	1	2
	1.82	1.91
	1.9	1.83
	2	1.85
	1.88	1.84	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	2	1.73
	1.9	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.86)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 138.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illinois-Chicago Flames
49.1%

Illinois State Redbirds
50.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illinois-Chicago Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Illinois State Redbirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Illinois-Chicago Flames aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Illinois State Redbirds aligns with the current prediction.

Illinois Chicago Flames - Illinois State Redbirds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:70

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illinois-Chicago won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Illinois State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Illinois-Chicago won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 747:736. (average 67.9:66.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Illinois-Chicago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 352:348. (average 70.4:69.6).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Illinois State: 0.22% Illinois (Chi.): 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illinois-Chicago Flames basketball
NCAA College Basketball
12.02.26	Drake Bulldogs - Illinois-Chicago Flames	70:80 ✺
06.02.26	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Belmont Bruins	62:68 ✺
03.02.26	Murray State Racers - Illinois-Chicago Flames	81:74 ✺
31.01.26	Southern Illinois Salukis - Illinois-Chicago Flames	66:68 ✺
27.01.26	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Indiana State Sycamores	76:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWW
- Illinois State Redbirds basketball
NCAA College Basketball
12.02.26	Illinois State Redbirds - Valparaiso Beacons	86:64 ✺
09.02.26	Evansville Purple Aces - Illinois State Redbirds	88:80 ✺
06.02.26	Illinois State Redbirds - Drake Bulldogs	86:76 ✺
03.02.26	Illinois State Redbirds - Southern Illinois Salukis	50:54 ✺
28.01.26	Murray State Racers - Illinois State Redbirds	65:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	Illinois State Redbirds - Illinois-Chicago Flames	59:63 OT
05.02.25	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Illinois State Redbirds	79:81
29.12.24	Illinois State Redbirds - Illinois-Chicago Flames	67:73
07.02.24	Illinois State Redbirds - Illinois-Chicago Flames	56:61
30.11.23	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Illinois State Redbirds	64:69
01.02.23	Illinois State Redbirds - Illinois-Chicago Flames	68:62 OT
28.12.22	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Illinois State Redbirds	55:51

Illinois-Chicago Flames - Illinois State Redbirds