Match Info

NCAA

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	Illinois State Redbirds		Valparaiso Beacons

	1	2
	1.17	4.75
	1.19	4.25
	1.23	4.34
	1.24	3.76	Watch
	1.2	4.6
	1.21	4.27
	1.19	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.17)	4.4 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 135.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illinois State Redbirds
78.5%

Valparaiso Beacons
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.9%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illinois State Redbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Valparaiso Beacons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Illinois State Redbirds - Valparaiso Beacons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:64

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illinois State won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Valparaiso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Illinois State is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Illinois State won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1061:1147. (average 66.3:71.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Illinois State won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 582:621. (average 64.7:69).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illinois State Redbirds basketball
NCAA College Basketball
09.02.26	Evansville Purple Aces - Illinois State Redbirds	88:80 ✺
06.02.26	Illinois State Redbirds - Drake Bulldogs	86:76 ✺
03.02.26	Illinois State Redbirds - Southern Illinois Salukis	50:54 ✺
28.01.26	Murray State Racers - Illinois State Redbirds	65:70 ✺
24.01.26	Belmont Bruins - Illinois State Redbirds	80:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWL
- Valparaiso Beacons basketball
NCAA College Basketball
09.02.26	Drake Bulldogs - Valparaiso Beacons	76:81 ✺
06.02.26	Valparaiso Beacons - Evansville Purple Aces	70:63 OT ✺
03.02.26	Bradley Braves - Valparaiso Beacons	72:65 ✺
31.01.26	Indiana State Sycamores - Valparaiso Beacons	72:76 OT ✺
28.01.26	Valparaiso Beacons - Belmont Bruins	77:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
07.01.26	Valparaiso Beacons - Illinois State Redbirds	77:71
01.02.25	Illinois State Redbirds - Valparaiso Beacons	86:78
03.03.24	Valparaiso Beacons - Illinois State Redbirds	75:72
14.01.24	Illinois State Redbirds - Valparaiso Beacons	50:59
11.02.23	Valparaiso Beacons - Illinois State Redbirds	81:76
21.01.23	Illinois State Redbirds - Valparaiso Beacons	51:71
09.02.22	Illinois State Redbirds - Valparaiso Beacons	78:75 OT (70:70)

Illinois State Redbirds - Valparaiso Beacons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide