Match Info

NCAA

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday


	Illinois-Chicago Flames		Murray State Racers

	1	2
	3	1.41
	2.9	1.37
	2.67	1.43	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.66	1.43
	3	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.88)	1.41 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illinois-Chicago Flames
33%

Murray State Racers
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

74%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illinois-Chicago Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Murray State Racers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illinois-Chicago Flames than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illinois-Chicago Flames that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murray State Racers than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murray State Racers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Illinois Chicago Flames - Murray State Racers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Illinois-Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Murray State will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Illinois-Chicago (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:83

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Preview

Illinois-Chicago has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Murray State is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Illinois-Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Murray State is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Murray State will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illinois-Chicago won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 345:395. (average 69:79).

Including home matches between the teams, Illinois-Chicago won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 155:166. (average 77.5:83).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illinois-Chicago Flames basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.12.25	Charlotte 49ers - Illinois-Chicago Flames	88:76 OT ✺
17.12.25	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Northern Iowa Panthers	54:60 ✺
13.12.25	Belmont Bruins - Illinois-Chicago Flames	87:84 ✺
07.12.25	Yale Bulldogs - Illinois-Chicago Flames	80:66 ✺
03.12.25	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions	62:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Murray State Racers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
29.12.25	Murray State Racers - Southern Illinois Salukis	84:81 ✺
21.12.25	Valparaiso Beacons - Murray State Racers	79:85 ✺
18.12.25	Murray State Racers - Drake Bulldogs	81:72 ✺
13.12.25	Akron Zips - Murray State Racers	100:115 ✺
06.12.25	Murray State Racers - Bellarmine Knights	81:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
11.02.25	Murray State Racers - Illinois-Chicago Flames	63:53
15.01.25	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Murray State Racers	97:93 OT
17.01.24	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Murray State Racers	58:73
02.01.24	Murray State Racers - Illinois-Chicago Flames	85:73
14.01.23	Murray State Racers - Illinois-Chicago Flames	81:64

Illinois-Chicago Flames - Murray State Racers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide