Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Illinois-Chicago Flames		Valparaiso Beacons

	1	2
	1.24	3.8
	1.25	3.65
	1.32	3.13	Watch
	1.29	3.6
	1.26	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)	3.58 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 137.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illinois-Chicago Flames
73.8%

Valparaiso Beacons
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.6%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illinois-Chicago Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Valparaiso Beacons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illinois-Chicago Flames than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valparaiso Beacons than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Illinois Chicago Flames - Valparaiso Beacons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:66

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illinois-Chicago won 2.

Illinois-Chicago has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valparaiso is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Illinois-Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Illinois-Chicago is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Illinois-Chicago won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1283:1482. (average 64.2:74.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Illinois-Chicago won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 562:610. (average 62.4:67.8).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Valparaiso: 0.22% Illinois (Chi.): 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illinois-Chicago Flames basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.02.26	Evansville Purple Aces - Illinois-Chicago Flames	46:84 ✺
15.02.26	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Illinois State Redbirds	83:56 ✺
12.02.26	Drake Bulldogs - Illinois-Chicago Flames	70:80 ✺
06.02.26	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Belmont Bruins	62:68 ✺
03.02.26	Murray State Racers - Illinois-Chicago Flames	81:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLL
- Valparaiso Beacons basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.02.26	Valparaiso Beacons - Bradley Braves	79:72 ✺
15.02.26	Valparaiso Beacons - Indiana State Sycamores	76:75 ✺
12.02.26	Illinois State Redbirds - Valparaiso Beacons	86:64 ✺
09.02.26	Drake Bulldogs - Valparaiso Beacons	76:81 ✺
06.02.26	Valparaiso Beacons - Evansville Purple Aces	70:63 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
04.01.26	Valparaiso Beacons - Illinois-Chicago Flames	66:59
06.03.25	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Valparaiso Beacons	50:67
02.03.25	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Valparaiso Beacons	77:73
18.01.25	Valparaiso Beacons - Illinois-Chicago Flames	74:81
20.01.24	Valparaiso Beacons - Illinois-Chicago Flames	84:77
06.01.24	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Valparaiso Beacons	70:64
19.02.23	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Valparaiso Beacons	74:73

Illinois-Chicago Flames - Valparaiso Beacons