Match Info

NCAA

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Indiana Hoosiers		Michigan State Spartans

	1	2
	2.25	1.6
	2.12	1.65
	2.17	1.73
	2.02	1.73	Watch
	2.2	1.66
	2.09	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.22)	1.68 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 144.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indiana Hoosiers
43.9%

Michigan State Spartans
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indiana Hoosiers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Michigan State Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indiana Hoosiers than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Indiana Hoosiers - Michigan State Spartans Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Indiana (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:73

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 3.

In recent matches, Indiana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Michigan State is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Indiana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Michigan State could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1326:1446. (average 66.3:72.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Indiana won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 618:621. (average 68.7:69).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indiana Hoosiers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.02.26	Indiana Hoosiers - Northwestern Wildcats	68:72 ✺
20.02.26	Purdue Boilermakers - Indiana Hoosiers	93:64 ✺
15.02.26	Illinois Fighting Illini - Indiana Hoosiers	71:51 ✺
09.02.26	Indiana Hoosiers - Oregon Ducks	92:74 ✺
07.02.26	Indiana Hoosiers - Wisconsin Badgers	78:77 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW
- Michigan State Spartans basketball
NCAA College Basketball
26.02.26	Purdue Boilermakers - Michigan State Spartans	74:76 ✺
22.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Ohio State Buckeyes	66:60 ✺
17.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - UCLA Bruins	82:59 ✺
13.02.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan State Spartans	92:71 ✺
07.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Illinois Fighting Illini	85:82 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
13.01.26	Michigan State Spartans - Indiana Hoosiers	81:60
11.02.25	Michigan State Spartans - Indiana Hoosiers	67:71
10.03.24	Indiana Hoosiers - Michigan State Spartans	65:64
21.02.23	Michigan State Spartans - Indiana Hoosiers	80:65
22.01.23	Indiana Hoosiers - Michigan State Spartans	82:69
12.02.22	Michigan State Spartans - Indiana Hoosiers	76:61
02.03.21	Michigan State Spartans - Indiana Hoosiers	64:58

Indiana Hoosiers - Michigan State Spartans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide