Match Info

NBA

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Indiana Pacers		Miami Heat

	1	2
	4.1	1.26	Watch
	3.95	1.25
	4.32	1.25
	4.38	1.25	Watch
	4	1.25
	4.36	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (4.12)	1.25 ↓ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 245.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indiana Pacers
23%

Miami Heat
77%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

76.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indiana Pacers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Indiana will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Miami will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 118:128

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Jackson Q.	9. Larsson P.
18. Slawson J.	22. Wiggins A.
43. Siakam P.	13. Adebayo B.
55. Thompson E.	14. Herro T.
2. Nembhard A.	45. Mitchell D.
Coaches
. Carlisle R.	. Spoelstra E.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 3.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Miami is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Indiana: Furphy J. (Knee Injury) Haliburton T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Zubac I. (Ribs Injury)

There will not play in Miami: Rozier T. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Indiana: McConnell T.J. (Hamstring Injury) Nembhard A. (Back Injury) Nesmith A. (Back Injury) Siakam P. (Knee Injury) Toppin O. (Back Injury) Walker J. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Miami: Powell N. (Back Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2237:2247. (average 111.9:112.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Indiana won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 946:930. (average 105.1:103.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Indiana Pacers - the odds 4.12 are the expected chance of winning is 23.49%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Miami Heat - the odds 1.27 are the expected chance of winning is 76.51%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indiana Pacers
NBA
27.03.26	Indiana Pacers - Los Angeles Clippers	113:114 ✺
25.03.26	Indiana Pacers - Los Angeles Lakers	130:137 ✺
23.03.26	Orlando Magic - Indiana Pacers	126:128 ✺
21.03.26	San Antonio Spurs - Indiana Pacers	134:119 ✺
18.03.26	Indiana Pacers - Portland Trail Blazers	119:127 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWLL
- Miami Heat
NBA
27.03.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat	149:128 ✺
25.03.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat	103:120 ✺
23.03.26	Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs	111:136 ✺
21.03.26	Houston Rockets - Miami Heat	123:122 ✺
19.03.26	Miami Heat - Los Angeles Lakers	126:134 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
10.01.26	Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat	123:99
27.12.25	Miami Heat - Indiana Pacers	142:116
28.02.25	Miami Heat - Indiana Pacers	125:120
02.01.25	Miami Heat - Indiana Pacers	115:128
17.11.24	Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat	119:110
15.11.24	Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat	111:124
07.04.24	Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat	117:115

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