Match Info

Basket League - Round 10

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Ivanofeio Sports Arena (Thessaloniki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	Iraklis		Aris

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.86	Watch
	1.88	1.93
	1.78	1.99	Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.84	2.01	Watch
	1.8	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.14)	1.93 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iraklis
51.4%

Aris
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iraklis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iraklis's performance.

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iraklis than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iraklis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.6%	0%	19.4%

Iraklis - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: Iraklis will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Iraklis will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Moraitis D. (C)	33. Andusic D.
5. Smith C.	23. Enoch S.
16. Syllas C.	25. Harrell R.
11. Ware L.	3. Jones B.
3. Wright-Foreman J.	5. Noua A.
Substitutes
14. Christidis V.	13. Bochoridis E. (C)
19. Davis J.	12. Gkiouzelis G.
4. Foster K.	98. Kulboka A.
0. Funderburk D.	2. Lefas P.
12. Kabouridis K.	0. Mitrou-Long E.
8. Poulianitis M.	11. Poulianitis S.
7. Tsiakmas N.	9. Tsairelis M.
Coaches
. Lukic Z.	. Milicic I.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iraklis won 1.

Iraklis has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Aris has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Iraklis won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 507:524. (average 72.4:74.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Iraklis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 227:228. (average 75.7:76).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iraklis Thessaloniki BC
Greek Basket League A1
06.12.25	Karditsas - Iraklis	80:87 ✺
ENBL
03.12.25	Newcastle Eagles - Iraklis	80:108 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
23.11.25	Maroussi Athens - Iraklis	87:92 ✺
16.11.25	Iraklis - Kolossos Rodou	86:71 ✺
ENBL
12.11.25	Iraklis - Spartak Pleven	72:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWW
- BC Aris Thessaloniki
Eurocup
10.12.25	Aris - Venezia	90:86 ✺
04.12.25	Aris - U BT Cluj-Napoca	88:98 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
22.11.25	Aris - Promitheas Patras	96:80 ✺
Eurocup
18.11.25	Neptūnas - Aris	87:93 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
16.11.25	Panathinaikos - Aris	82:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
02.04.22	Iraklis - Aris	91:86
14.11.21	Aris - Iraklis	83:78 OT (73:73)
10.03.21	Iraklis - Aris	54:76
10.11.20	Aris - Iraklis	81:75
11.01.20	Aris - Iraklis	69:63
05.10.19	Iraklis - Aris	82:66
Greek Cup Basketball
02.10.19	Aris - Iraklis	63:64

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