Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 2

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Svyturio Arena (Klaipeda)


	Lithuania		Italy

	1	2
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.38	3.05	Watch
	1.29	3.18
	1.65	2.04	Watch
	1.38	2.93	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.65)	2.76 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lithuania
66%

Italy
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lithuania's performance.

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Italy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Lithuania - Italy Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Lithuania will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Italy will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lithuania (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5, OT - Lithuania (1.79) (votes: 9 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Lithuania (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Blazevic M. Tofas	00. Della V. A. Brescia
21. Masiulis G. BC Rytas	44. Grant S. Cremona
77. Paliukenas M. BC Rytas	77. Petrucelli J. Trapani
7. Radzevicius G. BC Rytas	26. Suigo L. Mega Basket
30. Zemaitis K. Manisa Buyuksehri	7. Tonut S. Milano
Substitutes
9. Beliauskas L. Sassari	25. Baldasso T. Derthona Tortona
23. Danusevicius P. Lietkabelis	28. Casarin D. Cremona
8. Gudaitis A. BC Rytas	24. Ferrari F. Cividale
71. Rubstavicius M. Zalgiris Kaunas	1. Mannion N. Milano
43. Sargiunas I. BC Rytas	19. Procida G. Real Madrid
3. Velicka A. Neptunas	16. Tessitori A. Venezia
	50. Vincini L. Sassari
Coaches
. Kurtinaitis R.	. Banchi L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 4.

Lithuania could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Lithuania: Tarolis D. (Injury)

There will not play in Italy: Candi L. (Inactive) Garavaglia D. (Inactive) Rossato R. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 493:442. (average 82.2:73.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lithuania basketball
World Championship Basketball
27.11.25	Great Britain - Lithuania	88:89 ✺
EuroBasket
09.09.25	Lithuania - Greece	76:87 ✺
06.09.25	Lithuania - Latvia	88:79 ✺
03.09.25	Lithuania - Sweden	74:71 ✺
01.09.25	Finland - Lithuania	78:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW
- Italy basketball
World Championship Basketball
27.11.25	Italy - Iceland	76:81 ✺
EuroBasket
07.09.25	Italy - Slovenia	77:84 ✺
04.09.25	Italy - Cyprus	89:54 ✺
02.09.25	Italy - Spain	67:63 ✺
31.08.25	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Italy	79:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Basketball
06.07.24	Italy - Lithuania	64:88
World Championship Basketball
25.02.19	Lithuania - Italy	86:73
29.11.18	Italy - Lithuania	70:65
EuroBasket
03.09.17	Lithuania - Italy	78:73
16.09.15	Italy - Lithuania	85:95 OT (79:79)
19.09.13	Lithuania - Italy	81:77

Lithuania - Italy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide