Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Second round - Round 2

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Vitrifrigo Arena (Pesaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	beIN Sports 3
Germany	Magenta Sport
Poland	TVP Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	DAZN
World	FIBA TV


	Italy		Serbia

	1	2
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.85	1.40
	2.95	1.38	Watch
	2.9	1.36
	2.9	1.39	Watch
	2.8	1.33
	2.85	1.4
	2.85	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.71)	1.38 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
32.6%

Serbia
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Serbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Italy - Serbia Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Serbia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Akele N. Virtus Bologna	30. Avramovic A. Dubai
13. Fontecchio S. Miami Heat	13. Dobric O. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet
1. Mannion N. Milano	23. Guduric M. Milano
9. Melli N. Fenerbahce	15. Jokic N. Denver Nuggets
20. Niang S. Virtus Bologna	5. Jovic N. Miami Heat
Substitutes
25. Baldasso T. Derthona Tortona	2. Dangubic N. Dubai
48. Emejuru G.	27. Davidovac D. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet
17. Ricci G. Milano	19. Lakic A. Partizan Mozzart Bet
18. Spagnolo M. Saski Baskonia	33. Milutinov N. Olympiacos Piraeus
16. Tessitori A. Venezia	9. Momirov S. Spartak Subotica
15. Thompson D. Valencia	41. Novak J. King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
7. Tonut S. Milano	24. Tanaskovic N. Buducnost
Coaches
. Banchi L.	. Alimpijevic D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 4.

Serbia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Italy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Serbia is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Italy won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1077:1175. (average 76.9:83.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy basketball
World Championship Basketball
28.08.26	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Italy	78:76 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
22.08.26	Italy - Estonia	83:61 ✺
World Championship Basketball
05.07.26	Italy - Lithuania	87:84 ✺
02.07.26	Iceland - Italy	83:102 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
27.06.26	Slovenia - Italy	83:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWW
- Serbia basketball
World Championship Basketball
28.08.26	Serbia - Iceland	102:73 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
23.08.26	France - Serbia	91:90 ✺
20.08.26	Serbia - France	90:87 ✺
World Championship Basketball
06.07.26	Serbia - Bosnia and Herzegovina	94:81 ✺
02.07.26	Switzerland - Serbia	73:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
01.09.23	Serbia - Italy	76:78
Friendly International Basketball
09.08.23	Serbia - Italy	88:89
EuroBasket
11.09.22	Serbia - Italy	86:94
DBB Supercup
19.08.22	Italy - Serbia	86:90
Olympic Games - Basketball
04.07.21	Serbia - Italy	95:102
World Championship Basketball
04.09.19	Italy - Serbia	77:92
Friendly International Basketball
23.08.19	Serbia - Italy	71:65

Italy - Serbia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide