Match Info

EUROPE: ABA LEAGUE - ROUND 8

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Jane Sandanski Arena (Skopje)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport


	KK MZT Skopje		Mega Basket

	1	2
	2.3	1.53
	2.3	1.58
	2.24	1.55
	2.29	1.64
	2.3	1.57
	2.44	1.53	Watch
	2.32	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.8)	1.56 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KK MZT Skopje
40.3%

Mega Basket
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KK MZT Skopje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KK MZT Skopje's form might have worsened.

Mega Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mega Basket's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KK MZT Skopje than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KK MZT Skopje, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mega Basket than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mega Basket, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

KK MZT Skopje - Mega Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: KK MZT Skopje will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:86

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches KK MZT Skopje won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Mega Basket could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mega Basket will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's KK MZT Skopje to win the game is with odds 2.3.

Last 10 head-to-head matches KK MZT Skopje won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 787-873.

Including matches at home between the teams KK MZT Skopje won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 391-394.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK MZT Skopje
North Macedonian Super League Basketball
22.11.22	KK MZT Skopje - Kumanovo	86:72 ✺
Adriatic League
18.11.22	FMP Beograd - KK MZT Skopje	101:97 ✺
North Macedonian Super League Basketball
15.11.22	Strumica - KK MZT Skopje	66:102 ✺
Adriatic League
04.11.22	KK MZT Skopje - Mornar Bar	77:94 ✺
North Macedonian Super League Basketball
31.10.22	KK MZT Skopje - Akademija FMP	77:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WLWLW
- Mega Basket
Adriatic League
20.11.22	Mornar Bar - Mega Basket	85:101 ✺
06.11.22	Mega Basket - Studentski Centar	101:74 ✺
30.10.22	Partizan Belgrade - Mega Basket	86:76 ✺
23.10.22	Mega Basket - Cibona	93:100 OT (91:91) ✺
17.10.22	KK Zadar - Mega Basket	96:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
30.01.18	Mega Basket - KK MZT Skopje	106:77
05.11.17	KK MZT Skopje - Mega Basket	76:92
28.01.17	KK MZT Skopje - Mega Basket	75:74
30.10.16	Mega Basket - KK MZT Skopje	87:72
28.12.15	KK MZT Skopje - Mega Basket	76:77
09.10.15	Mega Basket - KK MZT Skopje	82:70
25.12.14	KK MZT Skopje - Mega Basket	84:79

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