Match Info

Korisliiga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Steveco-Areena (Kotka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	KTP Kotka Basket		Helsinki Seagulls

	1	2
	1.52	2.4
	1.6	2.36
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.58	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.36)	2.38 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KTP Kotka Basket
60.7%

Helsinki Seagulls
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KTP Kotka Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KTP Kotka Basket's form might have worsened.

Helsinki Seagulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Helsinki Seagulls's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka Basket than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KTP Kotka Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helsinki Seagulls than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Helsinki Seagulls, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

KTP Kotka Basket - Helsinki Seagulls Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. KTP Basket will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Helsinki Seagulls will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. KTP Basket (votes: 1 - 50%). Helsinki Seagulls (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Granlund J.	10. Heinonen O.
44. Polla H.	1. Henry J.
5. Richardson T.	3. Ross K.
2. Sapwell K.	4. Rougeau R. (C)
8. Taylor J.	47. Waxlax R.
Substitutes
24. Carver A.	0. Chukwuma C.
4. Hirvonen T. (C)	16. Kaivos J.
20. Pettersson H.	55. Keeling C.
7. Raitanen R.	40. Kilpinen J.
11. Stepanoff H.	5. Leskinen E.
31. Tuomala J.	2. Niemi T.
23. Turtiainen A.	23. Pietrzyk M.
Coaches
. Mihajlovic D.	. Saukkola T.

Preview

Series tied 3-3. Seventh leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP Basket won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, KTP Basket is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KTP Basket won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1649:1775. (average 82.5:88.8).

Including home matches between the teams, KTP Basket won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 731:784. (average 81.2:87.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	KTP Kotka Basket	2	2	0	171:142	4
5	Helsinki Seagulls	4	2	2	310:316	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTP Kotka Basket
Finnish Korisliiga
07.04.26	Helsinki Seagulls - KTP Kotka Basket	89:79 ✺
05.04.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Helsinki Seagulls	72:81 ✺
01.04.26	Helsinki Seagulls - KTP Kotka Basket	85:87 ✺
30.03.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Helsinki Seagulls	83:95 ✺
27.03.26	Helsinki Seagulls - KTP Kotka Basket	76:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLW
- Helsinki Seagulls
Finnish Korisliiga
07.04.26	Helsinki Seagulls - KTP Kotka Basket	89:79 ✺
05.04.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Helsinki Seagulls	72:81 ✺
01.04.26	Helsinki Seagulls - KTP Kotka Basket	85:87 ✺
30.03.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Helsinki Seagulls	83:95 ✺
27.03.26	Helsinki Seagulls - KTP Kotka Basket	76:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
07.04.26	Helsinki Seagulls - KTP Kotka Basket	89:79
05.04.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Helsinki Seagulls	72:81
01.04.26	Helsinki Seagulls - KTP Kotka Basket	85:87
30.03.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Helsinki Seagulls	83:95
27.03.26	Helsinki Seagulls - KTP Kotka Basket	76:92
24.03.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Helsinki Seagulls	79:77
10.03.26	Helsinki Seagulls - KTP Kotka Basket	84:92

KTP Kotka Basket - Helsinki Seagulls: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide