Match Info

Korisliiga - Winners stage - Round 23

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Steveco-Areena (Kotka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	KTP Kotka Basket		Kauhajoen Karhu

	1	2
	1.4	2.75
	1.41	2.87
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.42	2.77
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)	2.74 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KTP Kotka Basket
66%

Kauhajoen Karhu
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KTP Kotka Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Kauhajoen Karhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for KTP Kotka Basket aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Kauhajoen Karhu aligns with the current prediction.

KTP Kotka Basket - Kauhajoen Karhu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauhajoen Karhu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Granlund J.	8. Ahonen A.
4. Hirvonen T. (C)	23. Berry T.
44. Polla H.	14. Kanden O. (C)
8. Taylor J.	7. Luukkonen E.
31. Tuomala J.	4. Nweke I.
Substitutes
24. Carver A.	0. Holifield J.
27. Mykra N.	25. Koivunen K.
7. Raitanen R.	35. Laavainen A.
0. Riley B.
2. Sapwell K.
11. Stepanoff H.
23. Turtiainen A.
Coaches
. Mihajlovic D.	. Koskimies J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP Basket won 1.

KTP Basket has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kauhajoen Karhu is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kauhajoen Karhu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

KTP Basket is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KTP Basket won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 1495:1814. (average 74.8:90.7).

Including home matches between the teams, KTP Basket won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 730:823. (average 73:82.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	KTP Kotka Basket	2	2	0	171:142	4
10	Karhu Basket	3	1	2	227:231	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTP Kotka Basket
Finnish Korisliiga
25.01.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	108:107 OT ✺
20.01.26	Kouvot Kouvola - KTP Kotka Basket	90:80 ✺
16.01.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Korikobrat	96:79 ✺
09.01.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Lahti Basketball	101:82 ✺
03.01.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - KTP Kotka Basket	79:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWL
- Kauhajoen Karhu
Finnish Korisliiga
24.01.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Helsinki Seagulls	79:74 ✺
21.01.26	Joensuun Kataja - Kauhajoen Karhu	76:62 ✺
14.01.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Korihait	97:90 OT ✺
10.01.26	Kouvot Kouvola - Kauhajoen Karhu	75:84 ✺
03.01.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - KTP Kotka Basket	79:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
03.01.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - KTP Kotka Basket	79:74
31.10.25	KTP Kotka Basket - Kauhajoen Karhu	86:77
30.12.24	Kauhajoen Karhu - KTP Kotka Basket	100:89
22.10.24	KTP Kotka Basket - Kauhajoen Karhu	85:86
26.01.24	KTP Kotka Basket - Kauhajoen Karhu	71:94
22.12.23	Kauhajoen Karhu - KTP Kotka Basket	106:65
11.03.23	Kauhajoen Karhu - KTP Kotka Basket	102:65

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