Match Info

NKL - Winners stage

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: „Žalgirio“ treniruočių centras (Kaunas)


	Kauno Žalgiris-2		Kėdainiai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.38	2.68
	1.38	2.8
	1.3	3.17	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.42	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.37)	2.8 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris-2
67.1%

Kėdainiai
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris-2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Kėdainiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris-2 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kėdainiai than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Kėdainiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bulanovas M. (C)	5. Danielius L. (C)
8. Daubaris D.	44. Kuprijanovas M.
4. Mikalauskas K.	15. Lukosius I.
10. Raupelis N.	4. Semaska P.
3. Urbonavicius D.	37. Uzas R.
Substitutes
2. Adamson S.	17. Bimba L.
15. Cerneckis G.	21. Gvezdauskas D.
55. Grunkis D.	9. Kelmelis A.
17. Lavrinovic T.	30. Zilinskas A.
66. Mistautas N.
16. Stombergas I.
Coaches
. Kondratavicius R.	. Butkus G.

Preview

Žalgiris-2 is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kėdainiai's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kėdainiai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Žalgiris-2 is considered a favorite.

We predict that Žalgiris-2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris-2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 194:206. (average 97:103).

Including home match between the teams, Žalgiris-2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 113:107.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	3	2	1	302:295	2
14	Kedainiai BC	3	1	2	237:281	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Žalgiris-2 Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
07.03.26	Vytis Šakiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	81:92 ✺
05.03.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Rytas 2	79:58 ✺
24.02.26	Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	83:93 ✺
21.02.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Sūduva	83:81 ✺
19.02.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Mažeikiai	102:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW
- Kėdainių BC
Lietuvos NKL
07.03.26	Sūduva - Kėdainiai	96:63 ✺
05.03.26	Kėdainiai - Vytis Šakiai	87:89 ✺
28.02.26	Kėdainiai - Telšiai	75:77 ✺
26.02.26	Mažeikiai - Kėdainiai	86:79 ✺
19.02.26	Kėdainiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	80:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
08.01.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kėdainiai	113:107 OT
28.10.25	Kėdainiai - Kauno Žalgiris-2	99:81

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