Match Info

LITHUANIA: NKL - WINNERS STAGE

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras (Garliava)


	Kauno Atletas		Mažeikiai

	1	2
	2.35	1.5
	2.24	1.61
	2.25	1.6
	2.27	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.32)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Atletas
40.8%

Mažeikiai
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Atletas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Atletas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Kauno Atletas - Mažeikiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:77

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Preview

Recent matches Kauno Atletas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mažeikiai is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kauno Atletas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mažeikiai will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kauno Atletas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 391-364.

Including matches at home between the teams Kauno Atletas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 180-141.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Atletas
Lietuvos NKL
16.02.23	Mažeikiai - Kauno Atletas	67:71 ✺
11.02.23	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kauno Atletas	72:62 ✺
09.02.23	Kauno Atletas - Vytis Šakiai	70:72 ✺
04.02.23	Sūduva - Kauno Atletas	79:76 ✺
28.01.23	Kauno Atletas - Šilutė	82:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLLW
- BC Mažeikiai
Lietuvos NKL
16.02.23	Mažeikiai - Kauno Atletas	67:71 ✺
11.02.23	Mažeikiai - Sūduva	71:67 ✺
09.02.23	Šilutė - Mažeikiai	64:83 ✺
02.02.23	Mažeikiai - Telšiai	72:71 ✺
28.01.23	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Mažeikiai	71:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
16.02.23	Mažeikiai - Kauno Atletas	67:71
19.11.22	Kauno Atletas - Mažeikiai	84:77
17.11.22	Mažeikiai - Kauno Atletas	84:73
15.01.22	Kauno Atletas - Mažeikiai	96:64
23.10.21	Mažeikiai - Kauno Atletas	72:67

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