Match Info

NKL

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Telsiu sporto arena (Telsiai)


	Mažeikiai		Sūduva

	1	2
			Watch
	2.42	1.48	Watch
	2.63	1.43
	2.62	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.04)	1.45 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mažeikiai
36.1%

Sūduva
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mažeikiai's form might have worsened.

Sūduva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sūduva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mažeikiai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sūduva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mažeikiai - Sūduva Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sūduva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Marquett Epps D.	7. Labutis I.
1. Mokseckas G. (C)	24. Pukelis A.
12. Motuzas M.	0. Simonis Z.
14. Narusevicius E.	13. Uzupis M.
7. Stropus J.	88. Vilys D.
Substitutes
2. Juodis G.	8. Grigas J.
13. Karasov P.	37. Jaskus E.
15. Mickus A.	25. Jucikas M.
3. Neal N.	22. Kliucinykas T. (C)
8. Rubinas D.	11. Navickas A.
4. Young C. K.	4. Zigmantavicius M.
Coaches
. Kiltinavicius M.	. Usas M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mažeikiai won 2.

Mažeikiai is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Sūduva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sūduva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sūduva might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mažeikiai won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1260:1596. (average 70:88.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mažeikiai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 552:637. (average 69:79.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Mažeikiai
Lietuvos NKL
08.11.25	Alytaus Alytus - Mažeikiai	70:80 ✺
06.11.25	Mažeikiai - Rytas 2	87:81 ✺
30.10.25	Kretinga - Mažeikiai	81:84 ✺
23.10.25	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	92:61 ✺
18.10.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Mažeikiai	88:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL
- BC Sūduva
Lietuvos NKL
06.11.25	Sūduva - Šilutė	83:76 ✺
04.11.25	Sūduva - Plunges Olimpas	90:58 ✺
30.10.25	Sūduva - Kėdainiai	91:95 ✺
25.10.25	Kretinga - Sūduva	76:92 ✺
23.10.25	Omega Tauras - Sūduva	89:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
21.04.23	Sūduva - Mažeikiai	83:92
09.03.23	Sūduva - Mažeikiai	89:74
11.02.23	Mažeikiai - Sūduva	71:67
07.12.22	Mažeikiai - Sūduva	61:78
27.10.22	Sūduva - Mažeikiai	86:52
06.01.22	Mažeikiai - Sūduva	56:69
04.11.21	Sūduva - Mažeikiai	128:58

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