Match Info

NBL1 South Women

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Keilor Thunder		Dandenong Rangers

	1	2
			Watch
	1.2	3.6
	1.26	3.41
	1.25	3.51	Watch
	1.24	3.65	Watch
	1.69	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.44)	3.23 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keilor Thunder
70.8%

Dandenong Rangers
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keilor Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keilor Thunder's performance.

Dandenong Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dandenong Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keilor Thunder than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keilor Thunder that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong Rangers than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dandenong Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Keilor Thunder - Dandenong Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:70

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keilor won 3.

Keilor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dandenong's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Keilor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Keilor will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Keilor won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 414:451. (average 69:75.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Keilor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 292:291. (average 73:72.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keilor Thunder Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
16.05.26	Keilor Thunder - Kilsyth Cobras	92:71 ✺
09.05.26	Keilor Thunder - Hobart Chargers	97:52 ✺
09.05.26	Frankston Blues - Keilor Thunder	57:84 ✺
02.05.26	Keilor Thunder - Geelong United	74:70 ✺
02.05.26	Diamond Valley Eagles - Keilor Thunder	93:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL
- Dandenong Rangers Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
23.05.26	Dandenong Rangers - Knox Raiders	73:91 ✺
16.05.26	Northern Tasmania - Dandenong Rangers	98:83 ✺
15.05.26	Hobart Chargers - Dandenong Rangers	100:95 ✺
09.05.26	Dandenong Rangers - Kilsyth Cobras	97:51 ✺
02.05.26	Waverley Falcons - Dandenong Rangers	73:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South Women
11.04.25	Dandenong Rangers - Keilor Thunder	96:53
20.07.24	Keilor Thunder - Dandenong Rangers	68:59
29.06.24	Keilor Thunder - Dandenong Rangers	56:83
11.05.24	Dandenong Rangers - Keilor Thunder	64:69
03.06.23	Keilor Thunder - Dandenong Rangers	83:72
21.05.22	Keilor Thunder - Dandenong Rangers	85:77

Keilor Thunder - Dandenong Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide