Match Info

FINLAND: I Divisioona A

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Aanekosken liikuntatalo (Äänekoski)


	Kipinä		Lahti Basketball

	1	2
	2.2	1.57
	2.19	1.57
	2.48	1.48
	2.41	1.49	Watch
	2.3	1.57
	2.48	1.43
	2.19	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.76)	1.53 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kipinä
39.7%

Lahti Basketball
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kipinä has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kipinä's form might have worsened.

Lahti Basketball has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lahti Basketball's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kipinä than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kipinä, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lahti Basketball than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lahti Basketball, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Kipinä - Lahti Basketball Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kipinä will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lahti will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:93

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Brewer T.	2. Kilpinen L.
30. Hart V.	23. Kuukkanen T.
45. Mantymaa S. (C)	1. Saarijarvi A. (C)
2. O'Neal J.	5. Sullivan A.
7. Salmenkivi S.	4. Williams L.
Substitutes
26. Jantti L.	22. Karvonen V.
1. Lehtonen A.	13. Kaunola P.
5. Romppanen J.	44. Lehtoranta Jo.
10. Savolainen O.	10. Salonen E.
6. Uecker J.
13. Varis E.
Coaches
. Hautsalo J.	. Palotie K.

Preview

Kipinä is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lahti is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Lahti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kipinä won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 81:95

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kipinä Basket
Finnish I Divisioona A Basketball
26.01.25	Kipinä - Torpan Pojat	127:106 ✺
18.01.25	Raholan Pyrkivä - Kipinä	69:104 ✺
12.01.25	Kipinä - Helsingin NMKY	86:99 ✺
02.01.25	Pyrinto Tampere 2 - Kipinä	75:91 ✺
19.12.24	Lappeenrannan NMKY - Kipinä	92:94 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW
- Lahti Basketball
Finnish I Divisioona A Basketball
26.01.25	Lahti Basketball - Aanekosken Huima	98:88 ✺
19.01.25	Torpan Pojat - Lahti Basketball	79:100 ✺
04.01.25	Raholan Pyrkivä - Lahti Basketball	66:82 ✺
20.12.24	HBA-Marsky Helsinki - Lahti Basketball	68:88 ✺
13.12.24	Lahti Basketball - Helsingin NMKY	89:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish I Divisioona A Basketball
08.11.24	Lahti Basketball - Kipinä	95:81

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