Match Info

NBL1 South Women

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday


	Knox Raiders		Geelong United

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4
	1.63	2.09	Watch
	1.64	2.17
	1.42	2.66	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.51	2.45	Watch
	1.63	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.91)	2.28 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Knox Raiders
59.2%

Geelong United
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Knox Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Knox Raiders's performance.

Geelong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Geelong United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Knox Raiders than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Knox Raiders that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong United than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geelong United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Knox Raiders - Geelong United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:77

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Preview

Knox is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Geelong is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Knox might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Knox won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 215:249. (average 71.7:83).

Including home match between the teams, Knox won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 97:90.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Knox Raiders Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
10.05.25	Knox Raiders - Keilor Thunder	85:58 ✺
03.05.25	Knox Raiders - Hobart Chargers	100:74 ✺
26.04.25	Bendigo Braves - Knox Raiders	61:86 ✺
25.04.25	Knox Raiders - Casey Cavaliers	82:71 ✺
17.04.25	Sandringham Sabres - Knox Raiders	79:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL
- Geelong United NBL1 Women
Australian NBL1 South Women
10.05.25	Geelong United - Dandenong Rangers	95:66 ✺
03.05.25	Sandringham Sabres - Geelong United	81:84 ✺
26.04.25	Hobart Chargers - Geelong United	62:89 ✺
25.04.25	Launceston Tornadoes - Geelong United	60:85 ✺
12.04.25	Geelong United - Bendigo Braves	79:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South Women
06.07.24	Knox Raiders - Geelong United	97:90
03.06.23	Geelong United - Knox Raiders	82:47
13.05.22	Geelong United - Knox Raiders	77:71

Knox Raiders - Geelong United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide